[TriangleTree]

AFAIC, if we somehow manage to beat NC State on a late Friday night and find a way to steal another win (preferably cal), I'll count this season as a step in the right direction, stats be damned.

There's probably about a 25% chance of us finding 2 more wins, but one can "dream"

I fully subscribe to all of the stats and analysis and agree that this has not been being a good team so far, I'm just hopeful that they can put it together, eke out a couple more wins and have some confidence to build upon. Sometimes that's all it takes to set the right trajectory. 

A non-competitive game this weekend will really suck. C'mon Tavita, prove Andrew right!

[TriangleTree]

AFAIC, if we somehow manage to beat NC State on a late Friday night and find a way to steal another win (preferably cal), I'll count this season as a step in the right direction, stats be damned.

There's probably about a 25% chance of us finding 2 more wins, but one can "dream"

I fully subscribe to all of the stats and analysis and agree that this has not been being a good team so far, I'm just hopeful that they can put it together, eke out a couple more wins and have some confidence to build upon. Sometimes that's all it takes to set the right trajectory. 

A non-competitive game this weekend will really suck. C'mon Tavita, prove Andrew right!

[bbm233]

According to ESPN Analytics, we have the following chances to win our remaining games:
24.2% vs NC State
2.5% vs Louisville (yes, 2.5%!)
6.8% vs VT
24.2% vs Kal
10.2% vs SMU

Based on my understanding of probabilities, that means a 42% chance that we can beat one of NC State or Kal, and very little chance of another victory to get to a 5-7 record.

BTW, everybody was so excited about the recent $50m contribution, but it is depressing to know that some schools spend that much on players every year.

[bbm233]

According to ESPN Analytics, we have the following chances to win our remaining games:
24.2% vs NC State
2.5% vs Louisville (yes, 2.5%!)
6.8% vs VT
24.2% vs Kal
10.2% vs SMU

Based on my understanding of probabilities, that means a 42% chance that we can beat one of NC State or Kal, and very little chance of another victory to get to a 5-7 record.

BTW, everybody was so excited about the recent $50m contribution, but it is depressing to know that some schools spend that much on players every year.

[cctop]

Based on my understanding of probabilities, that means a 42% chance that we can beat one of NC State or Kal, and very little chance of another victory to get to a 5-7 record.

...and a 53% chance to win one of the next five games. That's purely from a mathematical perspective but it sounds about right.

[cctop]

Based on my understanding of probabilities, that means a 42% chance that we can beat one of NC State or Kal, and very little chance of another victory to get to a 5-7 record.

...and a 53% chance to win one of the next five games. That's purely from a mathematical perspective but it sounds about right.

[TriangleTree]

1792526514[/url]']
According to ESPN Analytics, we have the following chances to win our remaining games:
24.2% vs NC State
2.5% vs Louisville (yes, 2.5%!)
6.8% vs VT
24.2% vs Kal
10.2% vs SMU

Based on my understanding of probabilities, that means a 42% chance that we can beat one of NC State or Kal, and very little chance of another victory to get to a 5-7 record.

BTW, everybody was so excited about the recent $50m contribution, but it is depressing to know that some schools spend that much on players every year.

Yikes
Based on those ESPN chances, probability of 5-7 or better is just under 10%

Oh well, beat the wolfpack

[TriangleTree]

1792526514[/url]']
According to ESPN Analytics, we have the following chances to win our remaining games:
24.2% vs NC State
2.5% vs Louisville (yes, 2.5%!)
6.8% vs VT
24.2% vs Kal
10.2% vs SMU

Based on my understanding of probabilities, that means a 42% chance that we can beat one of NC State or Kal, and very little chance of another victory to get to a 5-7 record.

BTW, everybody was so excited about the recent $50m contribution, but it is depressing to know that some schools spend that much on players every year.

Yikes
Based on those ESPN chances, probability of 5-7 or better is just under 10%

Oh well, beat the wolfpack