WBB Stanford FSU - Printable Version

WBB Stanford FSU - Printable Version

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RE: WBB Stanford FSU - MV72018 - 02-22-2026

(02-22-2026, 01:54 PM)martyup Wrote: We win 77-61.

This game shows we have the talent to be a tournament team.

LOL, Marty! I trust you mean the Also-rans Invitational Tournament, aka the NIT!

The NIT Used to offer a chance to play at MSG, "the Mecca of basketball." But not since 2022.

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - BostonCard - 02-22-2026

(02-22-2026, 01:56 PM)JohnR34231 Wrote: Well we pull it out. There were some doubtful moments but we got it done.
Nice.

Florida State led 5-4 at the 7:33 mark in the first quarter. That was its only lead of the game, and it was ahead for a grand total of 1% of the game. Stanford took a 10 point lead midway through the second quarter, at which point ESPN’s win probability meter hit 90%. By the start of the second half, Stanford was given a 98.4% win probability. At the end of the third quarter, it was “down” to a 96.3%, and that was the low mark for the second half. I wouldn’t characterize a game in which you have over a 95% chance of winning in the entire second half as “doubtful”.

BC

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - crackpot - 02-23-2026

(02-22-2026, 06:01 PM)BostonCard Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 01:56 PM)JohnR34231 Wrote: Well we pull it out. There were some doubtful moments but we got it done.
Nice.

Florida State led 5-4 at the 7:33 mark in the first quarter. That was its only lead of the game, and it was ahead for a grand total of 1% of the game. Stanford took a 10 point lead midway through the second quarter, at which point ESPN’s win probability meter hit 90%. By the start of the second half, Stanford was given a 98.4% win probability. At the end of the third quarter, it was “down” to a 96.3%, and that was the low mark for the second half. I wouldn’t characterize a game in which you have over a 95% chance of winning in the entire second half as “doubtful”.

BC

Tell that to Duke.

I literally made a screenshot of our 99.9% probability of winning with 2+ minutes to go and sent it to a friend asking why I was still nervous. She verified that we've seen worse things happen.

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - samiam - 02-23-2026

What's the story on Lepolo? Isn't the team required to provide an injury report, if it is an injury?

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - jonnyss - 02-23-2026

(02-23-2026, 09:57 AM)crackpot Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 06:01 PM)BostonCard Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 01:56 PM)JohnR34231 Wrote: Well we pull it out. There were some doubtful moments but we got it done.
Nice.

Florida State led 5-4 at the 7:33 mark in the first quarter. That was its only lead of the game, and it was ahead for a grand total of 1% of the game. Stanford took a 10 point lead midway through the second quarter, at which point ESPN’s win probability meter hit 90%. By the start of the second half, Stanford was given a 98.4% win probability. At the end of the third quarter, it was “down” to a 96.3%, and that was the low mark for the second half. I wouldn’t characterize a game in which you have over a 95% chance of winning in the entire second half as “doubtful”.

BC

Tell that to Duke.

I literally made a screenshot of our 99.9% probability of winning with 2+ minutes to go and sent it to a friend asking why I was still nervous. She verified that we've seen worse things happen.

yes, duke was leading 40-30 at the beginning of the 4th quarter.

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - BobK - 02-23-2026

Lepolo was reported out for each game she missed

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - 2006alum - 02-23-2026

(02-23-2026, 04:56 PM)jonnyss Wrote:
(02-23-2026, 09:57 AM)crackpot Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 06:01 PM)BostonCard Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 01:56 PM)JohnR34231 Wrote: Well we pull it out. There were some doubtful moments but we got it done.
Nice.

Florida State led 5-4 at the 7:33 mark in the first quarter. That was its only lead of the game, and it was ahead for a grand total of 1% of the game. Stanford took a 10 point lead midway through the second quarter, at which point ESPN’s win probability meter hit 90%. By the start of the second half, Stanford was given a 98.4% win probability. At the end of the third quarter, it was “down” to a 96.3%, and that was the low mark for the second half. I wouldn’t characterize a game in which you have over a 95% chance of winning in the entire second half as “doubtful”.

BC

Tell that to Duke.

I literally made a screenshot of our 99.9% probability of winning with 2+ minutes to go and sent it to a friend asking why I was still nervous. She verified that we've seen worse things happen.

yes, duke was leading 40-30 at the beginning of the 4th quarter.

ESPN's probabilities have always seemed to sway too extremely to me. I don't know how anyone would say a team that is (a) on the road; (b) has won 1 Sunday road game all season; © has lost 8 of the last 10 games; and (d) has seen a 23 point lead dwindle to 8 points has a 97% chance of winning with 4:20 left. Maybe it really is the case that 97 out of 100 times that team wins, but I feel like experientially, those kinds of games feel very "doubtful" to me, too. And I suspect ESPN's algorithm is not takign into consideration (b) and © at all.

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - SkiBum80 - 02-23-2026

(02-23-2026, 05:10 PM)2006alum Wrote:
(02-23-2026, 04:56 PM)jonnyss Wrote:
(02-23-2026, 09:57 AM)crackpot Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 06:01 PM)BostonCard Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 01:56 PM)JohnR34231 Wrote: Well we pull it out. There were some doubtful moments but we got it done.
Nice.

Florida State led 5-4 at the 7:33 mark in the first quarter. That was its only lead of the game, and it was ahead for a grand total of 1% of the game. Stanford took a 10 point lead midway through the second quarter, at which point ESPN’s win probability meter hit 90%. By the start of the second half, Stanford was given a 98.4% win probability. At the end of the third quarter, it was “down” to a 96.3%, and that was the low mark for the second half. I wouldn’t characterize a game in which you have over a 95% chance of winning in the entire second half as “doubtful”.

BC

Tell that to Duke.

I literally made a screenshot of our 99.9% probability of winning with 2+ minutes to go and sent it to a friend asking why I was still nervous. She verified that we've seen worse things happen.

yes, duke was leading 40-30 at the beginning of the 4th quarter.

ESPN's probabilities have always seemed to sway too extremely to me. I don't know how anyone would say a team that is (a) on the road; (b) has won 1 Sunday road game all season; © has lost 8 of the last 10 games; and (d) has seen a 23 point lead dwindle to 8 points has a 97% chance of winning with 4:20 left. Maybe it really is the case that 97 out of 100 times that team wins, but I feel like experientially, those kinds of games feel very "doubtful" to me, too. And I suspect ESPN's algorithm is not takign into consideration (b) and © at all.

I think those probabilities are part of a family. Which is related to Analytics. Which is also related to Statistics. And we know what Statistics are related to.

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - crackpot - 02-23-2026

(02-23-2026, 05:10 PM)2006alum Wrote:
(02-23-2026, 04:56 PM)jonnyss Wrote:
(02-23-2026, 09:57 AM)crackpot Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 06:01 PM)BostonCard Wrote:
(02-22-2026, 01:56 PM)JohnR34231 Wrote: Well we pull it out. There were some doubtful moments but we got it done.
Nice.

Florida State led 5-4 at the 7:33 mark in the first quarter. That was its only lead of the game, and it was ahead for a grand total of 1% of the game. Stanford took a 10 point lead midway through the second quarter, at which point ESPN’s win probability meter hit 90%. By the start of the second half, Stanford was given a 98.4% win probability. At the end of the third quarter, it was “down” to a 96.3%, and that was the low mark for the second half. I wouldn’t characterize a game in which you have over a 95% chance of winning in the entire second half as “doubtful”.

BC

Tell that to Duke.

I literally made a screenshot of our 99.9% probability of winning with 2+ minutes to go and sent it to a friend asking why I was still nervous. She verified that we've seen worse things happen.

yes, duke was leading 40-30 at the beginning of the 4th quarter.

ESPN's probabilities have always seemed to sway too extremely to me. I don't know how anyone would say a team that is (a) on the road; (b) has won 1 Sunday road game all season; © has lost 8 of the last 10 games; and (d) has seen a 23 point lead dwindle to 8 points has a 97% chance of winning with 4:20 left. Maybe it really is the case that 97 out of 100 times that team wins, but I feel like experientially, those kinds of games feel very "doubtful" to me, too. And I suspect ESPN's algorithm is not takign into consideration (b) and © at all.

Yes, definitely in the latter half of this season, I'd say the point spread is usually more accurate. I'm pretty sure ESPN's analytics don't account for, say, Talana's absence or the several games in which we missed Nunu. And we definitely play better at home than on the road.

RE: WBB Stanford FSU - Card10Fan - 02-23-2026

Well senior day this weekend. Is Talana going to be at Maples and be recognized at the ceremony Sunday? She has not been seen at a game (home or away) or in any team media posts since@ Syracuse which was January 18. That is a mysteriously long time to be missing completely from the program.