09-25-2018, 11:21 AM
(09-25-2018, 10:59 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote: NDIrish, let me break down what you saw with Book against Wake Forsest. I posted something similar in a thread you may have missed.
First, Wake Forest stinks. They are a Sonny Dykes Cal team that plays no defense and has even lesser athletes than Cal. This means their defense stays on the field a lot and wears out, particularly in the sweltering conditions they played in.
Second, Stanford fans have seen what happens when the new QB plays against bad defenses. This was Keller Chryst in 2016. He rolled up Arizona and Oregon State among other bad defenses. But he was benched in 2017 and ultimately transferred because he wasn't good against good teams.
Stanford is #6 in the country in Points Per Play Allowed. Notre Dame is #14. I don't imagine ND's D is much better than Oregon's, but I know Stanford's is much, much better than Wake's.
Book is going to throw some picks as he hasn't faced a defense this good, and if he was good enough to have started the season, he would have.
Again, another Stanford example. In 2011, Josh Nunes was the starting QB, even beat USC when they were ranked high early in year. When he struggled, everyone expected Nottingham. But the guy who actually played instead was Kevin Hogan. What I'm saying here is Book is much more likely to be a Keller Chryst than a Kevin Hogan. He'll beat up a lousy Wake team, but odds are he will struggle quite a bit against a very good Stanford squad.
Stanford has its own issues of course, so I'm not claiming ND has no chance to win with Book. I just agree Wimbush gives them a better chance to win.
WF is really bad and i would be blown away surprised if Book doesn't struggle. i could see 1 or 2 picks in the first half OR a lot of 3 and outs bc hes afraid to attack. I expect our defense to give up somewhere around the 27 pt mark. the question is can our offense score 28? i doubt it solely with book. To me, BW's running ability throws in enough curve to give you a chance.
For our defense, i have been surprised at their struggles. People have mainly focused on the offensive struggles and said "he we have the great defense, but the offense is putting them in bad spots". I think this is true, but there is something more than that and im not sure what it is. We were suppose to have this great secondary, and they are really hard hitters and solid tacklers, but they are just a step too late. ND has a lot of depth on the D-Line, which can really help us in the 4th quarter, and they area really good at getting pressure, but not sacks - just a step behind. Our MLB are beasts, but once again - a step behind (kind of a theme huh). Against an average to good offense, they are good enough to win, but against an explosive kind, they will give up 8-10 yards a play. Alot of strength, usually pretty smart, but need to step it up if we are going to win this game.
we usually have a bend but dont break attitude, but the problem is, against the stanford team, you guys get in the redzone, those receivers make it tough to keep you out of the endzone (7 td passes on 14 rzatt).

