Preview:
The seeding for the Pac 12 tournament is set for us: we will have the #1 seed no matter whether we win or lose at Utah, due to the tiebreakers. But the same cannot be said for the NCAA tourney. The stronger we finish, the better our seed is likely to be in the tournament that counts the most. We could have 4 challenging games left before those seeds are determined, and thus the game at Utah could have an impact on the prospects for both Stanford and Utah, as will the games in the Pac-12 tourney. Utah certainly believes that this is the biggest game of their season, and a win over us could propel them forward.
Utah is 24-3, 14-3 in conference, and is a perfect 13-0 at home this year. They are ranked 8/7, Massey has them at 7, NET at 7, and bracketology has them as a 2 seed so far. Since we last played them they are 9-1, with the one loss coming at Arizona. Not all those 9 wins were dominant wins--they won a few road games by narrow margins, but at home they have been formidable. They just put up 101 on Cal yesterday.
Last time we played Utah, at Maples, we were in the process of changing our offense after the prior, awful, USC loss, and we mostly succeeded. Jones and Jump each came out and got multiple jumpers from around the free throw line, mostly curling around screens to do so. We didn't really stop Pili or Kneepkins, but limited the rest of Utah sufficiently to get to a 75-62 victory. That was also the game Lepolo hurt her ankle and Nivar got many minutes.
https://thecardboard.org/board/showthrea...#pid379616
https://gostanford.com/sports/womens-bas...core/38014
However, the great threat is that Utah will continue to get Pili her points against us while getting hot from three point range. We held them to 5/26 at Maples, which is uncharacteristically low for a team that has so many superb three point shooters. We might have problems having equal success in their gym, so I hope we do significantly better on Pili than we did last time out.
Utah on Thursday scored more than 22 points every quarter against a Cal defense that gave us trouble. Pili led the way with 26, but it was Jenna Johnson with 21 for a change rather than Kneepkins, who had 6. Johnson used to be the only Utah player who did not routinely make threes, but she was 1/2 yesterday from three point range. Utah had 7 players who made threes, but the three point shot was far from their only offense, accounting for 24 of their 101 points. Utah had 60 points in the paint and 30 bench points.
In short, we need to somehow control Pili inside, guard absolutely everyone on the three point line, and not let anyone drive around our perimeter defense. To the extent we fail, then we need to score a whole lot of points at the other end. Utah shot 57% against Cal, so there were not a lot of defensive rebounding possibilities. We might be able to get something going with offensive rebounding, though, since we have a big size advantage inside.
The seeding for the Pac 12 tournament is set for us: we will have the #1 seed no matter whether we win or lose at Utah, due to the tiebreakers. But the same cannot be said for the NCAA tourney. The stronger we finish, the better our seed is likely to be in the tournament that counts the most. We could have 4 challenging games left before those seeds are determined, and thus the game at Utah could have an impact on the prospects for both Stanford and Utah, as will the games in the Pac-12 tourney. Utah certainly believes that this is the biggest game of their season, and a win over us could propel them forward.
Utah is 24-3, 14-3 in conference, and is a perfect 13-0 at home this year. They are ranked 8/7, Massey has them at 7, NET at 7, and bracketology has them as a 2 seed so far. Since we last played them they are 9-1, with the one loss coming at Arizona. Not all those 9 wins were dominant wins--they won a few road games by narrow margins, but at home they have been formidable. They just put up 101 on Cal yesterday.
Last time we played Utah, at Maples, we were in the process of changing our offense after the prior, awful, USC loss, and we mostly succeeded. Jones and Jump each came out and got multiple jumpers from around the free throw line, mostly curling around screens to do so. We didn't really stop Pili or Kneepkins, but limited the rest of Utah sufficiently to get to a 75-62 victory. That was also the game Lepolo hurt her ankle and Nivar got many minutes.
https://thecardboard.org/board/showthrea...#pid379616
https://gostanford.com/sports/womens-bas...core/38014
However, the great threat is that Utah will continue to get Pili her points against us while getting hot from three point range. We held them to 5/26 at Maples, which is uncharacteristically low for a team that has so many superb three point shooters. We might have problems having equal success in their gym, so I hope we do significantly better on Pili than we did last time out.
Utah on Thursday scored more than 22 points every quarter against a Cal defense that gave us trouble. Pili led the way with 26, but it was Jenna Johnson with 21 for a change rather than Kneepkins, who had 6. Johnson used to be the only Utah player who did not routinely make threes, but she was 1/2 yesterday from three point range. Utah had 7 players who made threes, but the three point shot was far from their only offense, accounting for 24 of their 101 points. Utah had 60 points in the paint and 30 bench points.
In short, we need to somehow control Pili inside, guard absolutely everyone on the three point line, and not let anyone drive around our perimeter defense. To the extent we fail, then we need to score a whole lot of points at the other end. Utah shot 57% against Cal, so there were not a lot of defensive rebounding possibilities. We might be able to get something going with offensive rebounding, though, since we have a big size advantage inside.

