Posts: 29
Threads: 7
Joined: Jan 2018
81 has provided a comprehensive review of today’s game. I am adding my 2 cents here.
Utah should be favored because:
It is undefeated at home and has the home-court advantage, including the tendency of referees to call more fouls on the opponent, and whatever psychological advantage players get from the home fans and familiarity with the arena.
Utah is more accustomed to playing at altitude. At 4780 feet, the Huntsman Center (in the hills above Salt Lake City) is only 620 feet lower than the CU Events Center in Boulder.
Utah is the highest scoring team in the conference and has the highest % of 3 point conversions. Alissa Pili is a creative post player difficult to stop and complements the outside shooters with their sophisticated three point offense with screening, pick and roll, etc.
Utah has whatever advantage that flows from the travel difficulties and sleep deprivation from Stanford’s trip from Boulder.
Here’s why Stanford still might prevail.
Stanford leads the conference in field goal defense and is third in three-point defense. It has a height advantage that allows a lot of switching with good communication on defense. Most of its perimeter defenders are tall and still play consistent smart defense (Jones, Jump, Iriafen, Demetre, and Belibi are all six feet or taller – and Emma Nnopu is 5’11”)
Stanford leads the conference in scoring margin and rebounding margin.
Stanford has two creative scorers in All American candidates Brink and Jones complemented by superior depth. Betts is a handful. Three-point scorer Jump can be stopped, but only with a glued-on defender. Wild cards can have breakout performances on any given day: Lepolo, Nivar, Emma Nnopu, Demetre, Belibi , and Prechtel (five of those six players come off the bench).
My prediction: A hard fought, tournament quality game. Motivation will be high on both sides.