03-13-2015, 05:23 PM
(03-13-2015, 02:55 PM)donkey687 link Wrote:Conclusion: Get your kids playing hockey if you want to maximize probability of making it to the pros. Greater than 0.2%. Not bad.
Yeah, but for hockey you'd be better off not having your kid play high school hockey at all and instead get him drafted onto a junior team in the WHL, OHL, or QMJHL at 15.
Actually, I'm not sure they have higher conversion percentage, but a hell of a lot more than 60 players a year get drafted out of those leagues.
(03-13-2015, 05:20 PM)washingtonismoney link Wrote:Ah, ok, that's a bit better but doesn't solve the issue. The problem is that the statistics WANT to tell you that you should focus on education because your odds of going pro in sports are infinitesimal, but that doesn't reflect the true odds:
it's also skewed because the NHL and MLB in particular have decent minor league systems. There are plenty of hockey players who get drafted and will never sign an actual NHL contract, or even if they do sign an NHL contract will never play in the NHL. Just like how the MLB has like a billion rounds in their drafts.