[winflop]

How are the game win probabilities assigned? Is that a black box or do they use a public source?

ESPN has something they call the Football Power Index (FPI) that they use to calculate these probabilities.  Probably all based on Monte Carlo simulations.

[winflop]

How are the game win probabilities assigned? Is that a black box or do they use a public source?

ESPN has something they call the Football Power Index (FPI) that they use to calculate these probabilities.  Probably all based on Monte Carlo simulations.