Stanford-UCLA game thread

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Stanford-UCLA game thread

TriangleTree
Stanford Man or Woman

Posts: 207
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Joined: Dec 2013

#155

10-16-2015, 05:53 AM

(10-16-2015, 05:22 AM)FarmBoy link Wrote:I'm not sure how you're doing your math, but when I multiple the remaining percentages, it comes out to ~27% which I think implies a 57% chance of winning the CCG against whoever emerges from the south to get us to 12-1. I assume it's not calculating our chance of winning our bowl game since it can't model who that would be against.

You're absolutely right.
I forgot we didn't need to win out to win the Pac12.
In fact, this assumes that the Pac12 North is almost a done deal.

Chance of winning Pac 12: 54%
Chance of winning the Pac 12 Championship game: 60% (winning out (16%) / winning scheduled games (27%))
Chance of winning Pac 12 North:Â 54%/ 60% = 90%!!

#155

TriangleTree

10-16-2015, 05:53 AM

(10-16-2015, 05:22 AM)FarmBoy link Wrote:I'm not sure how you're doing your math, but when I multiple the remaining percentages, it comes out to ~27% which I think implies a 57% chance of winning the CCG against whoever emerges from the south to get us to 12-1. I assume it's not calculating our chance of winning our bowl game since it can't model who that would be against.

You're absolutely right.
I forgot we didn't need to win out to win the Pac12.
In fact, this assumes that the Pac12 North is almost a done deal.

Chance of winning Pac 12: 54%
Chance of winning the Pac 12 Championship game: 60% (winning out (16%) / winning scheduled games (27%))
Chance of winning Pac 12 North:Â 54%/ 60% = 90%!!

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Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 07:44 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by DC - 10-15-2015, 07:45 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by thunder_chik - 10-15-2015, 07:46 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 07:46 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 07:48 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 07:49 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Kathy - 10-15-2015, 07:49 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 07:50 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 07:54 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 07:57 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 07:57 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 08:00 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 08:01 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by thunder_chik - 10-15-2015, 08:04 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 08:05 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 08:06 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by DC - 10-15-2015, 08:06 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 08:09 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 08:13 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 08:19 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 08:21 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:21 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Stymie - 10-15-2015, 08:22 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:23 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:26 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:27 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by JeffInCorvallis - 10-15-2015, 08:30 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:31 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 08:33 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 08:34 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 08:40 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:40 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by PalmTree - 10-15-2015, 08:41 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 08:42 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:44 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by PalmTree - 10-15-2015, 08:45 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 08:45 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 08:47 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Kathy - 10-15-2015, 08:47 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by SamAtoms1980 - 10-15-2015, 08:52 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by PalmTree - 10-15-2015, 08:55 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 09:01 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:01 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 09:02 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 09:02 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by SamAtoms1980 - 10-15-2015, 09:02 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 09:03 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:03 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Stymie - 10-15-2015, 09:04 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by needle - 10-15-2015, 09:04 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 09:05 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:06 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 09:06 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 09:07 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:08 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by SamAtoms1980 - 10-15-2015, 09:09 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by PalmTree - 10-15-2015, 09:10 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Stymie - 10-15-2015, 09:12 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:14 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 09:16 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 09:16 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 09:17 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by OutsiderFan - 10-15-2015, 09:17 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:18 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by SeattleTree - 10-15-2015, 09:20 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by JeffInCorvallis - 10-15-2015, 09:21 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 09:25 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by JohnR34231 - 10-15-2015, 09:25 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by OutsiderFan - 10-15-2015, 09:27 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Kathy - 10-15-2015, 09:44 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 09:45 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Kathy - 10-15-2015, 09:46 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 09:46 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:47 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:48 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Stymie - 10-15-2015, 09:49 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 09:49 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 09:51 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 09:53 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 09:53 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 09:53 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by PalmTree - 10-15-2015, 09:54 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by CompSci87 - 10-15-2015, 09:55 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 09:56 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 09:57 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 09:58 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 10:01 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:04 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by DC - 10-15-2015, 10:04 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by needle - 10-15-2015, 10:06 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:07 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:08 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Stymie - 10-15-2015, 10:08 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Kathy - 10-15-2015, 10:08 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by DC - 10-15-2015, 10:08 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 10:09 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 10:09 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by cardcoug - 10-15-2015, 10:10 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:12 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:14 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:15 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 10:16 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:16 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Kathy - 10-15-2015, 10:16 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:17 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Stymie - 10-15-2015, 10:18 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:18 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Kathy - 10-15-2015, 10:18 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by 2 for 2028 - 10-15-2015, 10:19 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by needle - 10-15-2015, 10:21 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Mick - 10-15-2015, 10:21 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:22 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:24 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:26 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 10:32 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:33 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:36 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by DC - 10-15-2015, 10:37 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:37 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 10:38 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:38 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by SamAtoms1980 - 10-15-2015, 10:39 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 10:40 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:40 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-15-2015, 10:41 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by needle - 10-15-2015, 10:41 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 10:42 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:43 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by jacketree - 10-15-2015, 10:45 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:46 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by needle - 10-15-2015, 10:47 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:49 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:49 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by needle - 10-15-2015, 10:50 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 10:52 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:52 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by thunder_chik - 10-15-2015, 10:57 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 10:58 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 10:59 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 11:01 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by kuz - 10-15-2015, 11:03 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 11:05 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-15-2015, 11:09 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Boston Card - 10-15-2015, 11:11 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by dabigv13 - 10-15-2015, 11:12 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by needle - 10-15-2015, 11:14 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by thunder_chik - 10-15-2015, 11:30 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by martyup - 10-16-2015, 12:55 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by JohnR34231 - 10-16-2015, 03:11 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by TheFarm07 - 10-16-2015, 04:26 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by JohnR34231 - 10-16-2015, 04:53 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-16-2015, 05:06 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by TriangleTree - 10-16-2015, 05:17 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by FarmBoy - 10-16-2015, 05:22 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by TriangleTree - 10-16-2015, 05:53 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Mick - 10-16-2015, 06:21 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Bruce Wang - 10-16-2015, 06:37 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by stupac2 - 10-16-2015, 09:25 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by French Rage - 10-16-2015, 09:51 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by Stymie - 10-16-2015, 09:59 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by yvonne - 10-16-2015, 10:26 AM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by GoodGrief - 10-16-2015, 12:21 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by French Rage - 10-16-2015, 12:29 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by GoodGrief - 10-16-2015, 12:35 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by French Rage - 10-16-2015, 01:23 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by ThePassionOfTheChryst - 10-16-2015, 02:13 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by CrazedZooChimp - 10-16-2015, 02:46 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by 82 Card - 10-16-2015, 03:24 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by stupac2 - 10-16-2015, 03:30 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by washingtonismoney - 10-16-2015, 06:11 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by ThePassionOfTheChryst - 10-16-2015, 06:55 PM

Re: Stanford-UCLA game thread - by CTcard - 10-16-2015, 08:02 PM

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