[stupac2]

[quote author=StanfordMatt link=topic=13994.msg147175#msg147175 date=1449718636]
The people who do have vastly superior knowledge are the bookmakers in Vegas and they still have McCaffrey has a h.uge underdog to Henry.

Vegas sets odds based on where the money is being bet, not where they think the result will end up.
[/quote]

Also if you actually look at the odds, and the history of the odds, it doesn't appear to be a fluid market. They're just updating the lines based on what happens in the game. And from what I saw only one place is even offering odds. I don't think it's a great indication of what people are thinking.

[stupac2]

[quote author=StanfordMatt link=topic=13994.msg147175#msg147175 date=1449718636]
The people who do have vastly superior knowledge are the bookmakers in Vegas and they still have McCaffrey has a h.uge underdog to Henry.

Vegas sets odds based on where the money is being bet, not where they think the result will end up.
[/quote]

Also if you actually look at the odds, and the history of the odds, it doesn't appear to be a fluid market. They're just updating the lines based on what happens in the game. And from what I saw only one place is even offering odds. I don't think it's a great indication of what people are thinking.