A too serious reply:
In football games the coin is allowed to land on the grass, probably making the randomness substantially greater than 99%.
But assuming the 1% bias applies, assuming the captain is actually in a position to know the starting position (can he see it?; does the flipper not make last second shifts?) and assuming we are the picker 6 games a season, following the "picking rules" religiously would give us approximately one extra correct call every 16 seasons. Then factor in the odds that winning the coin flip favorably affects the game's outcome. Let's say a way too high 20%. That means a game would be affected once every 80 years.
I'd rather have my captain thinking about something else.
In football games the coin is allowed to land on the grass, probably making the randomness substantially greater than 99%.
But assuming the 1% bias applies, assuming the captain is actually in a position to know the starting position (can he see it?; does the flipper not make last second shifts?) and assuming we are the picker 6 games a season, following the "picking rules" religiously would give us approximately one extra correct call every 16 seasons. Then factor in the odds that winning the coin flip favorably affects the game's outcome. Let's say a way too high 20%. That means a game would be affected once every 80 years.
I'd rather have my captain thinking about something else.
