The all-time worst record for an NCAA at large bid is 18-14 (56%), and the fewest wins for an at large bid is 17. If we go 5-1 the rest of the way, we'd be at 16 wins and 57% to close the regular season (I'm not counting our D-II win mid-season). Even with 2 more wins in the Pac-12 tournament, we would not be assured of anything.
To put it more succinctly: don't believe everything you see in bleacherreport.
To put it more succinctly: don't believe everything you see in bleacherreport.