02-19-2016, 10:48 AM
Some updated numbers for Stanford men's basketball:
Pomeroy: 100 (up from 112)
RPI: 71 (up from 74)
RPI SOS: 1
Games remaining:
@UW RPI=75
vs USC RPI=23
vs UCLA RPI=77
@ASU RPI=83
@UA RPI=25
It's a crapshoot trying to predict a magic number of wins, but let's just pretend that--to be in the conversation--Stanford needs to finish with 18 wins and no bad losses. The most likely snowball's-chance scenario would be a sweep of UW, UCLA and ASU (all rated below us in RPI) and a split between USC and UA. That would get us to 5th or, more likely, 6th in the Pac-12, and we would absolutely need to win our first Pac-12 tournament game against someone like ASU or WSU.
By the way, here are the records of Dawkins-coached teams for the final five games of the regular conference season:
2009: 2-3
2010: 2-3
2011: 2-3
2012: 3-2 (won the NIT)
2013: 3-2 (made NIT)
2014: 3-2 (Sweet 16)
2015: 2-3 (won the NIT)
So in year 8 of the Dawkins era, a 4-1 finish to the regular season would be groundbreaking.
Pomeroy: 100 (up from 112)
RPI: 71 (up from 74)
RPI SOS: 1
Games remaining:
@UW RPI=75
vs USC RPI=23
vs UCLA RPI=77
@ASU RPI=83
@UA RPI=25
It's a crapshoot trying to predict a magic number of wins, but let's just pretend that--to be in the conversation--Stanford needs to finish with 18 wins and no bad losses. The most likely snowball's-chance scenario would be a sweep of UW, UCLA and ASU (all rated below us in RPI) and a split between USC and UA. That would get us to 5th or, more likely, 6th in the Pac-12, and we would absolutely need to win our first Pac-12 tournament game against someone like ASU or WSU.
By the way, here are the records of Dawkins-coached teams for the final five games of the regular conference season:
2009: 2-3
2010: 2-3
2011: 2-3
2012: 3-2 (won the NIT)
2013: 3-2 (made NIT)
2014: 3-2 (Sweet 16)
2015: 2-3 (won the NIT)
So in year 8 of the Dawkins era, a 4-1 finish to the regular season would be groundbreaking.
If there's one thing people have learned in Berkeley, it's that you can't put "Cal football" and "Rose Bowl" in the same sentence. The words just don't fit. You'd be better off linking "covered wagons" with "Mars travel." (Bruce Jenkins, Cal '70, SF Chronicle, Nov. 11, 2017)
