[ColoradoTree]

My understanding is that teams usually have a pretty good sense of signability if they're going to draft someone fairly high.  Some guys make clear that they're going to college no matter what, but if a kid is going in the first two rounds, the team must have a decent sense of what it will take to sign him. 

My Minnesota Twins drafted a prep pitcher bound for LSU in the third round that had scared teams off with his salary demands, but it looks like they had a pre-draft deal penciled in place if he fell to them at a certain spot.  He was seen as a late first round pick that wanted early first money in order to back off his commitment from LSU, though what he'll end up getting from the Twins is below that, so this could be a situation where the kid legitimately scared teams off with concerns about signing him, and he recalibrated his demands after he didn't go in the first or the second rounds. 

(Interestingly, the Twins made it work by selecting guys in the first and second rounds that they would be likely to sign below slot, so they could use that savings to pay the third round guy.  Entirely possible the third rounder is the highest-paid Twins draft pick.  Since you can't trade MLB draft picks, this seems like the equivalent of trading back in the NFL draft.  And all of those conversations with agents happen before the draft, so the team knows how much they'll have to work with for other picks.)

[ColoradoTree]

My understanding is that teams usually have a pretty good sense of signability if they're going to draft someone fairly high.  Some guys make clear that they're going to college no matter what, but if a kid is going in the first two rounds, the team must have a decent sense of what it will take to sign him. 

My Minnesota Twins drafted a prep pitcher bound for LSU in the third round that had scared teams off with his salary demands, but it looks like they had a pre-draft deal penciled in place if he fell to them at a certain spot.  He was seen as a late first round pick that wanted early first money in order to back off his commitment from LSU, though what he'll end up getting from the Twins is below that, so this could be a situation where the kid legitimately scared teams off with concerns about signing him, and he recalibrated his demands after he didn't go in the first or the second rounds. 

(Interestingly, the Twins made it work by selecting guys in the first and second rounds that they would be likely to sign below slot, so they could use that savings to pay the third round guy.  Entirely possible the third rounder is the highest-paid Twins draft pick.  Since you can't trade MLB draft picks, this seems like the equivalent of trading back in the NFL draft.  And all of those conversations with agents happen before the draft, so the team knows how much they'll have to work with for other picks.)