[qwerty49]

[quote author=qwerty49 link=topic=18390.msg219158#msg219158 date=1514331342]Having said all this, I confess there was indeed one time this year where an in-game decision surprised me.  And that was when Shaw decided to go for it on 4th down instead of kicking the FG in the CCG.  But after the decision was made, there was no doubt in my mind what the playcall was going to be.

Either that was the only series you watched or you're casting way too narrow of a net for unpredictability. I don't understand why running on 4th and short counts as predictable but a playfake or bootleg or similar apparently also counts as predictable. (Also, the entire point of those surprise plays is that they're surprises, you can't bring them out all the time.)

At any rate, going from memory in an exercise like this is flawed, especially if you're not defining your terms ahead of time (what counts as predictable, etc). Memory is ridiculously fallible.
[/quote]

I'm glad to defer to your superior memory....please tell me when we ran a bootleg or play fake on 4th and 1 with the game on the line this year. 

And to reiterate, what surprised me was that we decided to go for it in the first place.

[qwerty49]

[quote author=qwerty49 link=topic=18390.msg219158#msg219158 date=1514331342]Having said all this, I confess there was indeed one time this year where an in-game decision surprised me.  And that was when Shaw decided to go for it on 4th down instead of kicking the FG in the CCG.  But after the decision was made, there was no doubt in my mind what the playcall was going to be.

Either that was the only series you watched or you're casting way too narrow of a net for unpredictability. I don't understand why running on 4th and short counts as predictable but a playfake or bootleg or similar apparently also counts as predictable. (Also, the entire point of those surprise plays is that they're surprises, you can't bring them out all the time.)

At any rate, going from memory in an exercise like this is flawed, especially if you're not defining your terms ahead of time (what counts as predictable, etc). Memory is ridiculously fallible.
[/quote]

I'm glad to defer to your superior memory....please tell me when we ran a bootleg or play fake on 4th and 1 with the game on the line this year. 

And to reiterate, what surprised me was that we decided to go for it in the first place.