Massey came out with their softball rankings for this coming year; we are No. 51 (which is in-line with my analysis of the schedule previously; in the bubble conversation, but probably need to overachieve a smidge to actually make the NCAA tournament, namely by beating expectations in Pac-12 play; if I had to set a probability on making the NCAA tournament, I would probably say somewhere in the 30%-40% chance, contingent on no catastrophic injury bugs).
Massey projects us to rack-up non-conference wins (we are only underdogs against Northwestern and Fresno State, though the projections for the contests against LSU and Michigan haven't been included to-date; we will be massive underdogs against both when the projection is updated).
I think Massey undersells our chances against Utah, Oregon, and Arizona State at home; however, Massey gives us a 15% chance at Hillenbrand against UA, which I think overestimates our chances.
https://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7582&s=306356
Massey projects us to rack-up non-conference wins (we are only underdogs against Northwestern and Fresno State, though the projections for the contests against LSU and Michigan haven't been included to-date; we will be massive underdogs against both when the projection is updated).
I think Massey undersells our chances against Utah, Oregon, and Arizona State at home; however, Massey gives us a 15% chance at Hillenbrand against UA, which I think overestimates our chances.
https://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7582&s=306356