11-09-2019, 10:24 AM
(11-09-2019, 03:29 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote: One thing to also consider is the value of mid-range pull up jumpers is not considered very high because players are not developing that shooting skill since they are being told close 2s, 3s and FTs are more valuable. This would be self fulfilling prophecy if the case as I suspect it is.I believe that it is partially a self fulfilling prophecy, and partially a misapplication of the statistics. Everybody would rather shoot a layup than a 5 ft jumper. Even uncontested 5 foot jumpers probably go in less frequently than layups. However, you may not be able to shoot a layup because the defense won't let you. You may have to take the best shot available, not the best possible shot. That factor should lead to more emphasis on pull-up jumpers. So far, it hasn't though. I think that is because there is no clear, easily charted statistic regarding shot availability that can be used to weight the probability of the shot going in. The fact that basketball is a more complicated game that a few numbers can express gets in the way.