01-05-2020, 06:53 PM
(This post was last modified: 01-05-2020, 07:09 PM by baymeadows3408.)
(01-05-2020, 06:38 PM)BostonCard Wrote:(01-05-2020, 06:32 PM)terry Wrote:(01-05-2020, 02:29 PM)cardcrimson Wrote: Man, coin flips deciding playoff games stink, too.
I completely agree. The college overtime rule is much better, IMO. It took me a while to get used to it, but I like it now. It gives both teams a fair chance. But I suppose the NFL is too entrenched in its ways to consider changing its rule.
My preference is that overtime picks up where the fourth quarter leaves off. Thus there is no need for a coin flip to decide anything.
BC
In the playoffs, perhaps the NFL should consider playing out an entire 15-minute period. I suppose that there could be concerns about player fatigue and injuries, though. And what would you do if the two teams remained tied at the end of the first overtime? Or they can just use the college system, which gives both teams an equal number of possessions.
Hmm, come to think of it, has anybody ever conducted a study to quantify any advantage that belongs to the team that wins the coin toss at the beginning of overtime in college football? The team that wins the toss always elects to go on defense first, with the logic being that it's preferable to know exactly what you need to do to win the game or force a second overtime. I wonder if there are any data that prove this logic.
(01-05-2020, 06:53 PM)baymeadows3408 Wrote:(01-05-2020, 06:38 PM)BostonCard Wrote:(01-05-2020, 06:32 PM)terry Wrote:(01-05-2020, 02:29 PM)cardcrimson Wrote: Man, coin flips deciding playoff games stink, too.
I completely agree. The college overtime rule is much better, IMO. It took me a while to get used to it, but I like it now. It gives both teams a fair chance. But I suppose the NFL is too entrenched in its ways to consider changing its rule.
My preference is that overtime picks up where the fourth quarter leaves off. Thus there is no need for a coin flip to decide anything.
BC
In the playoffs, perhaps the NFL should consider playing out an entire 15-minute period. I suppose that there could be concerns about player fatigue and injuries, though. And what would you do if the two teams remained tied at the end of the first overtime? Or they can just use the college system, which gives both teams an equal number of possessions.
Hmm, come to think of it, has anybody ever conducted a study to quantify any advantage that belongs to the team that wins the coin toss at the beginning of overtime in college football? The team that wins the toss always elects to go on defense first, with the logic being that it's preferable to know exactly what you need to do to win the game or force a second overtime. I wonder if there are any data that prove this logic.
Answering my own question:
https://www.theringer.com/2017/2/6/16042...316a6f8e3c
"A study of the first 10 years of college football’s overtime rules found that teams that went second won 54.9 percent of the time. Another study found that teams that start on defense had a 52.1 percent win probability, smaller than the NFL’s but still significant. And this Redditor tabulated that teams going second in overtime had won 331 of 602 overtime games, almost 55 percent."
Formerly posted on TOS as YCF, mostly a lurker now
