[FarmBoy]

This has been posted all over ESPN. It's also on the Pac12 and Stanford blogs. In the comment section of the Pac12 version, an Oregon points out an obvious oddity in the article: why did Shaw choose a play from the WSU game for the film break down? Wouldn't something from the USC, Notre Dame, or even Oregon games have made for more compelling story-lines? You shouldn't need 4 first-round draft picks to beat WSU.

But I liked the article, and I've been wondering the same thing. With that much talent, how do you know which of the players is a true first rounder and who's getting over valued? The point about U.SC in 2006 is very telling:

In 2006, five USC players, including Reggie Bush and Matt Leinart, came off the board in the first 45 picks. Combined Pro Bowls: zero.

Of course, I'm not sure what percentage of all first round picks make a pro-bowl in their first six years in the league, so maybe that's not overly concerning. But the NFL draft seems like as much of a crap shoot as high school recruiting. On the whole, the higher you're picked, the better you'll PROBABLY be, but lots 5 star guys flame out and some 2 star guys become great.

[FarmBoy]

This has been posted all over ESPN. It's also on the Pac12 and Stanford blogs. In the comment section of the Pac12 version, an Oregon points out an obvious oddity in the article: why did Shaw choose a play from the WSU game for the film break down? Wouldn't something from the USC, Notre Dame, or even Oregon games have made for more compelling story-lines? You shouldn't need 4 first-round draft picks to beat WSU.

But I liked the article, and I've been wondering the same thing. With that much talent, how do you know which of the players is a true first rounder and who's getting over valued? The point about U.SC in 2006 is very telling:

In 2006, five USC players, including Reggie Bush and Matt Leinart, came off the board in the first 45 picks. Combined Pro Bowls: zero.

Of course, I'm not sure what percentage of all first round picks make a pro-bowl in their first six years in the league, so maybe that's not overly concerning. But the NFL draft seems like as much of a crap shoot as high school recruiting. On the whole, the higher you're picked, the better you'll PROBABLY be, but lots 5 star guys flame out and some 2 star guys become great.