[81alum]

Maybe the idea of taking some minutes away from Jump was more to help keep her fresh, not that others would be an improvement.

Agreed.  Jump's offense has suffered some I think from the constant 40 minute grind.  Tara apparently feels that Jump's defense is so valuable that she can't afford to take her out of most games.  And in fact it is defense where Jump is most improved, and where she devoted most of her off season to training.

But as her minutes went up, her offense has come down, and I have to believe that the constant exertion on defense has taken a bit of a toll on her shooting.  On the rare occasions that Tara has taken Jump out for a few minutes, my impression is that Jump's shooting improves when she goes back in.

Jump's 3 point shooting percentages:
2019-20 .413
2020-21 .435
2021-22 .397
2022-23 .441
2023-24 .366

Karlie Samuelson, Lindy LaRocque, and Kiana Williams all also had what I would call "overuse" declines in their three point shooting during certain stretches, although Karlie's percentage her senior year was terrific, it was harder and harder to get her open so she could even take a shot, and (playing injured, I think?) she was 0/2 in that final loss to South Carolina.

LaRocque was more dramatic, going from .386 her junior year to .244 her senior year.  Taylor Greenfield had a similar decline in three point shooting her senior year, as did Kayla Pedersen.  Not sure why this happens so frequently.  It does not happen to all three point shooters, but the senior slump seems to be a real phenomenon.

Williams shot better her senior year than her junior year, but seemed to wear down like a spinning top as we got deep into the NCAA tournament.  The last 8 games in her Stanford career she made  5, 6, 4, 4, 2, 0, and 1 three point baskets.  Of course the defenses improved over that stretch too, but the consensus at the time was that she was just exhausted by being our top perimeter defender, point guard, and a top scorer.

[81alum]

Maybe the idea of taking some minutes away from Jump was more to help keep her fresh, not that others would be an improvement.

Agreed.  Jump's offense has suffered some I think from the constant 40 minute grind.  Tara apparently feels that Jump's defense is so valuable that she can't afford to take her out of most games.  And in fact it is defense where Jump is most improved, and where she devoted most of her off season to training.

But as her minutes went up, her offense has come down, and I have to believe that the constant exertion on defense has taken a bit of a toll on her shooting.  On the rare occasions that Tara has taken Jump out for a few minutes, my impression is that Jump's shooting improves when she goes back in.

Jump's 3 point shooting percentages:
2019-20 .413
2020-21 .435
2021-22 .397
2022-23 .441
2023-24 .366

Karlie Samuelson, Lindy LaRocque, and Kiana Williams all also had what I would call "overuse" declines in their three point shooting during certain stretches, although Karlie's percentage her senior year was terrific, it was harder and harder to get her open so she could even take a shot, and (playing injured, I think?) she was 0/2 in that final loss to South Carolina.

LaRocque was more dramatic, going from .386 her junior year to .244 her senior year.  Taylor Greenfield had a similar decline in three point shooting her senior year, as did Kayla Pedersen.  Not sure why this happens so frequently.  It does not happen to all three point shooters, but the senior slump seems to be a real phenomenon.

Williams shot better her senior year than her junior year, but seemed to wear down like a spinning top as we got deep into the NCAA tournament.  The last 8 games in her Stanford career she made  5, 6, 4, 4, 2, 0, and 1 three point baskets.  Of course the defenses improved over that stretch too, but the consensus at the time was that she was just exhausted by being our top perimeter defender, point guard, and a top scorer.