08-09-2026, 12:26 PM
For better or worse (mostly worse), here are the preseason win probabilities for each of Stanford's games according to something called ESPN Analytics:
Hawaii (home) 60.6%
Miami (home) 5.9%
Duke (away) 22.5%
Georgia Tech (home) 39.7%
Wake Forest (away) 20%
Notre Dame (away) 1.6%
Elon (home) 95.5%
NC State (home) 38%
Louisville (away) 9.8%
Virginia Tech (away) 15.2%
Cal (away) 32.1%
SMU (home) 20.6%
I'm sticking to my "optimistic" prediction of 4 wins: Hawaii, Elon, Cal (because I must) and an upset somewhere along the way.
Hawaii (home) 60.6%
Miami (home) 5.9%
Duke (away) 22.5%
Georgia Tech (home) 39.7%
Wake Forest (away) 20%
Notre Dame (away) 1.6%
Elon (home) 95.5%
NC State (home) 38%
Louisville (away) 9.8%
Virginia Tech (away) 15.2%
Cal (away) 32.1%
SMU (home) 20.6%
I'm sticking to my "optimistic" prediction of 4 wins: Hawaii, Elon, Cal (because I must) and an upset somewhere along the way.
If there's one thing people have learned in Berkeley, it's that you can't put "Cal football" and "Rose Bowl" in the same sentence. The words just don't fit. You'd be better off linking "covered wagons" with "Mars travel." (Bruce Jenkins, Cal '70, SF Chronicle, Nov. 11, 2017)