[JohnR34231]

For better or worse (mostly worse), here are the preseason win probabilities for each of Stanford's games according to something called ESPN Analytics:

Hawaii (home) 60.6%
Miami  (home) 5.9%
Duke (away) 22.5%
Georgia Tech (home) 39.7%
Wake Forest (away) 20%
Notre Dame (away) 1.6%
Elon (home) 95.5%
NC State (home) 38%
Louisville (away) 9.8%
Virginia Tech (away) 15.2%
Cal (away) 32.1%
SMU (home) 20.6%

I'm sticking to my "optimistic" prediction of 4 wins: Hawaii, Elon, Cal (because I must) and an upset somewhere along the way.

So we are basically favored in two games and the other ten aren't even particularly close. Oh well. I'm still hoping for five wins.

[JohnR34231]

For better or worse (mostly worse), here are the preseason win probabilities for each of Stanford's games according to something called ESPN Analytics:

Hawaii (home) 60.6%
Miami  (home) 5.9%
Duke (away) 22.5%
Georgia Tech (home) 39.7%
Wake Forest (away) 20%
Notre Dame (away) 1.6%
Elon (home) 95.5%
NC State (home) 38%
Louisville (away) 9.8%
Virginia Tech (away) 15.2%
Cal (away) 32.1%
SMU (home) 20.6%

I'm sticking to my "optimistic" prediction of 4 wins: Hawaii, Elon, Cal (because I must) and an upset somewhere along the way.

So we are basically favored in two games and the other ten aren't even particularly close. Oh well. I'm still hoping for five wins.