01-04-2013, 10:18 AM
I don't think we'll need to speculate too much -- one thing you notice about failing coaches is that when it goes wrong, it ALL goes wrong (see: T.edford -- I wonder if he'd been able to pull out one more win, whether he'd still be the Head Honcho 59er). So I expect things (unfortunately) to really start going wrong, especially given the strong trend of Dawkins teams to start conference play off better than they finish it.
At any rate, if Dawkins does finish middl(ish)-of-the-road, I wouldn't be shocked if Muir fires him anyway. Dawkins is below recent historical expectations; the new AD wants his own guy, and it seems especially likely Muir knows guys given that Muir's CV is more basketball-weighted. Dawkins may have a longterm contract, but it's all about the buyout. It's hard to imagine we're in a big money crunch, given the success of the football program and the new Pac-12 money. At this point, seemingly only a failure of will projects to stay Muir's hand.
At any rate, if Dawkins does finish middl(ish)-of-the-road, I wouldn't be shocked if Muir fires him anyway. Dawkins is below recent historical expectations; the new AD wants his own guy, and it seems especially likely Muir knows guys given that Muir's CV is more basketball-weighted. Dawkins may have a longterm contract, but it's all about the buyout. It's hard to imagine we're in a big money crunch, given the success of the football program and the new Pac-12 money. At this point, seemingly only a failure of will projects to stay Muir's hand.