[CTcard]

Stanford inexplicably gave away a nonconference game to RPI 192 San Jose State, 10-8, last night.
...
According to the Stanford Daily, the team likely needs to win all of its seven final games. 

That was indeed a bad loss that will hurt come selection time.
It is, at least, Stanford's first mid-week loss. 

However, as far as I can tell the statement in the Daily was just picked out of the air and isn't based upon anything in particular.

Boyd's World has always speculated that #45 the key RPI boundary for the tournament. He calculates that Stanford needs to win 6 of 7 to remain above #45 (based upon current RPI values - not projected). A little surprising since he has Stanford at #41 right now, but the rest of the schedule is significantly weaker than it has been up to now: games vs #124 WSU, #141 Pacific, #166 Utah - and the RPI is 75% strength of schedule.

To really get a feel you have to do a count and sort through the bubble teams. As always  bubble teams need to root against upsets in conference tournaments. My gut tells me it's unlikely Stanford gets in - but I haven't done the work to guess intelligently.

[CTcard]

Stanford inexplicably gave away a nonconference game to RPI 192 San Jose State, 10-8, last night.
...
According to the Stanford Daily, the team likely needs to win all of its seven final games. 

That was indeed a bad loss that will hurt come selection time.
It is, at least, Stanford's first mid-week loss. 

However, as far as I can tell the statement in the Daily was just picked out of the air and isn't based upon anything in particular.

Boyd's World has always speculated that #45 the key RPI boundary for the tournament. He calculates that Stanford needs to win 6 of 7 to remain above #45 (based upon current RPI values - not projected). A little surprising since he has Stanford at #41 right now, but the rest of the schedule is significantly weaker than it has been up to now: games vs #124 WSU, #141 Pacific, #166 Utah - and the RPI is 75% strength of schedule.

To really get a feel you have to do a count and sort through the bubble teams. As always  bubble teams need to root against upsets in conference tournaments. My gut tells me it's unlikely Stanford gets in - but I haven't done the work to guess intelligently.