[BostonCard]

I agree with Hulk.  I had envisioned this as a 1 to 2 touchdown spread for UCLA.  We have not won any of our games against decent or better opposition (at Washington, barely bowl eligible, is our best win; Cal, OSU, WSU, Army, and Davis are all middling, at best, teams).  We have two substantial losses, at ASU and at Oregon, and UCLA looks more like those two teams (currently sitting at 9-2 and considered a long-shot but still a possibility for the playoffs) than it looks like the teams we played close and lost (USC, Notre Dame, and Utah).  Plus UCLA is playing for a Pac-12 championship berth, so it will be highly motivated.  They have a goodish defense (third in the Pac-12 in total defense), and we have struggled against good defenses.  It's hard to see us putting up more than 20 points on them, and though it might be possible for our defense to hold them within that range, they'd have to play an epic game.  Something like 24-7 UCLA is possible, 17-10 seems like the most likely, and if we win it would have to be something like 17-14 or 14-13.

BC

[BostonCard]

I agree with Hulk.  I had envisioned this as a 1 to 2 touchdown spread for UCLA.  We have not won any of our games against decent or better opposition (at Washington, barely bowl eligible, is our best win; Cal, OSU, WSU, Army, and Davis are all middling, at best, teams).  We have two substantial losses, at ASU and at Oregon, and UCLA looks more like those two teams (currently sitting at 9-2 and considered a long-shot but still a possibility for the playoffs) than it looks like the teams we played close and lost (USC, Notre Dame, and Utah).  Plus UCLA is playing for a Pac-12 championship berth, so it will be highly motivated.  They have a goodish defense (third in the Pac-12 in total defense), and we have struggled against good defenses.  It's hard to see us putting up more than 20 points on them, and though it might be possible for our defense to hold them within that range, they'd have to play an epic game.  Something like 24-7 UCLA is possible, 17-10 seems like the most likely, and if we win it would have to be something like 17-14 or 14-13.

BC