(03-09-2016, 08:52 PM)DC link Wrote:[quote author=winflop link=topic=14712.msg158167#msg158167 date=1457544464]
[quote author=stupac2 link=topic=14712.msg158161#msg158161 date=1457542809]
If I had as much money as he'd made I'd sock it in an index fund and live off the interest for the rest of my life. Hopefully he's invested wisely.
Looks like he's made about $11M total. Probably not enough to fully retire on, plus I doubt at age 28/29 he's out of career options or interests
http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/jacksonville-...y-gerhart/
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Sounds like a lot of money, but that is only if you are somewhat close to retirement age. At 28/29, he should plan for the possibility that he could live another 60 years, and continue adding to his wealth. The money won't seem like that much 50 years from now.
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Nope, he really could retire on that and live a really quite good life. I'm really surprised at how much people on this forum think you need, are you guys throwing Love Boat parties every weekend or something?
Let's actually do the math. Let's say he paid 40% taxes on that, so it's "only" $6.6M. Football players get most of their food and things paid for, so he'd just need housing in pretty cheap markets and some transportation, and he doesn't seem like the Lambo type so assume he's managed to live off of $600k and has $6M in the bank (which also assumes no endorsements or any other income at all, probably wrong, I bet this is a lowball).
Now let's say he wants to live a comfortable life in the Bay Area. He's smart, and knows that mortgage rates are so low that you're better off taking the nominal ~4%, and deducting the interest while investing what you would've spent. He buys something like a 3/2 in good shape with a decent yard, which would be ~$1.2M in the Oakland/Berkeley area (depending a lot on specifics), assuming 20% down (which the loan originator would probably still want) that's $4,500 per month, $54k per year. Let's assume that property taxes minus the interest deduction come out to ~$6k extra (based on my taxes I believe this is high), so $60k is his housing cost. How much non-housing money do you need per year?
I'm a pretty big dude, a little taller than Gerhart and probably, once he loses his playing muscle, about the same weight. My wife and I spent ~$10k on food last year (some of that is actually various other household but whatever). Our car is paid off, but gas and maintenance and registration were ~$3k. Say it's $5k, he travels a bit more and drives a bigger car, but still pays it off (or gets a loan that's low enough interest to make financing reasonable). Utilities aren't a ton, we paid ~6k this year, and I think that counts some weird time where EBMUD was billing us for two houses because they're incompetent. So let's say that's a high estimate.
I don't know if he's married, but say he is and is about to have a kid. I'm not sure why, if he's retired, he'd want/need daycare, but say he thinks it would provide socialization and he wants an enriching experience, pretty reasonable. The most fancy/expensive place near me is $3k a month, $36k a year. Okay, now how much do you spend on "other"? Shopping, home furnishing, vacations, etc. Since we just bought and started furnishing a house, plus are getting ready for a kid, our spending has been pretty high, and I'm having some trouble understanding Mint here, but it looks like we spent ~$9k. Call that annual.
All right, let's add it up, that's ~$116k. We didn't take any fancy vacations, maybe he wants to travel to Europe/Asia twice a year, so add like $24k for that. Round up to $150k because why the hell not? Capital gains on that would be 15%, right? So that's ~176k withdrawn from the account per year. What kind of return do you need to get to be able to live off that? Started with $6M, paid $140k for down payment, so he has $5.86M invested. 176/5860 = 0.030. So he'd need to get a 3% real return over time to be able to live off of it. Does anyone really think that's not doable? He'd almost certainly get at least 4%, in which case he'd be able to grow his principle with time (a smart move anyway)
Maybe you don't like my math above, maybe I've lowballed some things, though I tried to be generous. But I outlined a pretty good life! (In fact it's basically my life but with a bigger house and more vacations.) Sure, you can't have a mansion and 4 cars and a private jet on this, but why would you want to?