07-13-2016, 12:20 PM
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
athletes bound for Rio Olympics
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
07-13-2016, 12:42 PM
I forgot about Coco! Chierika Ukogu has been training in the single scull (1x) out of Philadelphia's Vesper Boat Club for some time now in preparation for her Rio bid. She qualified from the 2015 African Olympic Qualifier with a time of 8:04 (her personal best in official elite competition). Note that last year's world championship W1x winning time was a 7:38, and last month's World Cup III winning time was 7:15. She has a lot of ground to make up from a rowing perspective, but her representation of Nigeria on the world stage will be important regardless of her finish.
Her GoStanford.com bio:
http://www.gostanford.com/roster.aspx?rp_id=4236
Team Nigeria's first Olympic rower:
http://www.boathouse.com/rio/chierika-ukogu/
Because she is receiving no funding from the Nigerian Rowing Federation, she has a GoFundMe page here:
https://www.gofundme.com/xe2a5b34
Her GoStanford.com bio:
http://www.gostanford.com/roster.aspx?rp_id=4236
Team Nigeria's first Olympic rower:
http://www.boathouse.com/rio/chierika-ukogu/
Because she is receiving no funding from the Nigerian Rowing Federation, she has a GoFundMe page here:
https://www.gofundme.com/xe2a5b34
I forgot about Coco! Chierika Ukogu has been training in the single scull (1x) out of Philadelphia's Vesper Boat Club for some time now in preparation for her Rio bid. She qualified from the 2015 African Olympic Qualifier with a time of 8:04 (her personal best in official elite competition). Note that last year's world championship W1x winning time was a 7:38, and last month's World Cup III winning time was 7:15. She has a lot of ground to make up from a rowing perspective, but her representation of Nigeria on the world stage will be important regardless of her finish.
Her GoStanford.com bio:
http://www.gostanford.com/roster.aspx?rp_id=4236
Team Nigeria's first Olympic rower:
http://www.boathouse.com/rio/chierika-ukogu/
Because she is receiving no funding from the Nigerian Rowing Federation, she has a GoFundMe page here:
https://www.gofundme.com/xe2a5b34
Her GoStanford.com bio:
http://www.gostanford.com/roster.aspx?rp_id=4236
Team Nigeria's first Olympic rower:
http://www.boathouse.com/rio/chierika-ukogu/
Because she is receiving no funding from the Nigerian Rowing Federation, she has a GoFundMe page here:
https://www.gofundme.com/xe2a5b34
07-20-2016, 01:42 PM
Looks like Steven Solomon (Australia) didn't qualify for the 400M in T&F - too bad, he'd been working so hard to get back in form after an injury-filled couple of years
http://www.smh.com.au/sport/olympics/rio...q3r5a.html
http://www.smh.com.au/sport/olympics/rio...q3r5a.html
Looks like Steven Solomon (Australia) didn't qualify for the 400M in T&F - too bad, he'd been working so hard to get back in form after an injury-filled couple of years
http://www.smh.com.au/sport/olympics/rio...q3r5a.html
http://www.smh.com.au/sport/olympics/rio...q3r5a.html
07-21-2016, 06:04 AM
My big question is whether the AD will be tracking the medal count for #NerdNation
07-30-2016, 12:17 PM
Scratch Mike and Bob Bryan, announced today that they are not going to Rio due to Zika concerns.
07-31-2016, 09:44 AM
I'm really worried about the Zika virus and the future of the human race. It can be transferred by mosquitos and through sexual contact. As of today, the CDC claimed 1,658 cases in the United States, with all but one through travel-related means, but 4,729 in U. S. Territories, with 4,666 in Puerto Rico. There are 87 cases in California. There are 855 pregnant women in the United States and U. S. Territories (433 and 422 respectively) with the Zika virus, 19 of whom have identifiable birth defects associated with the Zika virus.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
I'm really worried about the Zika virus and the future of the human race. It can be transferred by mosquitos and through sexual contact. As of today, the CDC claimed 1,658 cases in the United States, with all but one through travel-related means, but 4,729 in U. S. Territories, with 4,666 in Puerto Rico. There are 87 cases in California. There are 855 pregnant women in the United States and U. S. Territories (433 and 422 respectively) with the Zika virus, 19 of whom have identifiable birth defects associated with the Zika virus.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
07-31-2016, 09:58 AM
It seems foolish to me that they are pushing on with the Olympics with the Zuka threat. It seems incredibly irresponsible to hold an event in a region that wil draw hundreds of thousands of people from outside the region who could be exposed and tehn bring the disease back to their homes.
It seems foolish to me that they are pushing on with the Olympics with the Zuka threat. It seems incredibly irresponsible to hold an event in a region that wil draw hundreds of thousands of people from outside the region who could be exposed and tehn bring the disease back to their homes.
07-31-2016, 09:59 AM
The Olympics are a travesty. The IOC is just as corrupt in its motivations if not deeds, as FIFA. It pays lip service to its values and shakes down countries who sacrifice the well being of their people for years in exchange for a two week commercial.
So few countries will bid on the games now because they have wised up to them, that the IOC is left with only countries ruled by dictators willing to participate. The market has spoken and the IOC doesn't change its offering, it just takes money from less scrupulous customers. It's disgusting to see what is happening in Brazil, and has happened in China and Russia. I will be boycotting any Olympic viewing.
It sucks because I really do enjoy the competition and the pride athletes have to represent their countries, but if I watch, I do what the IOC is relying on. Only if people don't watch will the IOC face pressure to change its practices.
So few countries will bid on the games now because they have wised up to them, that the IOC is left with only countries ruled by dictators willing to participate. The market has spoken and the IOC doesn't change its offering, it just takes money from less scrupulous customers. It's disgusting to see what is happening in Brazil, and has happened in China and Russia. I will be boycotting any Olympic viewing.
It sucks because I really do enjoy the competition and the pride athletes have to represent their countries, but if I watch, I do what the IOC is relying on. Only if people don't watch will the IOC face pressure to change its practices.
The Olympics are a travesty. The IOC is just as corrupt in its motivations if not deeds, as FIFA. It pays lip service to its values and shakes down countries who sacrifice the well being of their people for years in exchange for a two week commercial.
So few countries will bid on the games now because they have wised up to them, that the IOC is left with only countries ruled by dictators willing to participate. The market has spoken and the IOC doesn't change its offering, it just takes money from less scrupulous customers. It's disgusting to see what is happening in Brazil, and has happened in China and Russia. I will be boycotting any Olympic viewing.
It sucks because I really do enjoy the competition and the pride athletes have to represent their countries, but if I watch, I do what the IOC is relying on. Only if people don't watch will the IOC face pressure to change its practices.
So few countries will bid on the games now because they have wised up to them, that the IOC is left with only countries ruled by dictators willing to participate. The market has spoken and the IOC doesn't change its offering, it just takes money from less scrupulous customers. It's disgusting to see what is happening in Brazil, and has happened in China and Russia. I will be boycotting any Olympic viewing.
It sucks because I really do enjoy the competition and the pride athletes have to represent their countries, but if I watch, I do what the IOC is relying on. Only if people don't watch will the IOC face pressure to change its practices.
07-31-2016, 04:04 PM
(07-31-2016, 09:44 AM)Mick link Wrote:I'm really worried about the Zika virus and the future of the human race. It can be transferred by mosquitos and through sexual contact. As of today, the CDC claimed 1,658 cases in the United States, with all but one through travel-related means, but 4,729 in U. S. Territories, with 4,666 in Puerto Rico. There are 87 cases in California. There are 855 pregnant women in the United States and U. S. Territories (433 and 422 respectively) with the Zika virus, 19 of whom have identifiable birth defects associated with the Zika virus.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
Why does this make you worried about the future of the human race? It's a virus that's among the most benign imaginable as long as you're not pregnant, and the means of beating it back (like, you know, screens on windows and air conditioning) are widely available in the developed world. The mosquitoes that transmit it cover a tiny fraction of the US (and aren't in most of the US), and even if other species can transmit it and it somehow becomes endemic across wide swaths of the US, it won't really ever be a concern to anyone but a tiny minority of people who will be able to take pretty easy precautions against it.
Your comment might make sense if you subbed in some kind of flu or even malaria, but Zika? On any kind of species-wide scale it's just not a problem, even at the olympics. The WHO is way more concerned about regular ole flu that no one gives a shit about because it doesn't have a scary name.
(And this is all ignoring that there's some pretty promising avenues toward complete eradication of vector mosquitoes in development, it's entirely possible that within our lifetimes not only Zika, but Yellow Fever, Chikungunya, West Nile, malaria, etc etc will all be history.)
(07-31-2016, 09:44 AM)Mick link Wrote:I'm really worried about the Zika virus and the future of the human race. It can be transferred by mosquitos and through sexual contact. As of today, the CDC claimed 1,658 cases in the United States, with all but one through travel-related means, but 4,729 in U. S. Territories, with 4,666 in Puerto Rico. There are 87 cases in California. There are 855 pregnant women in the United States and U. S. Territories (433 and 422 respectively) with the Zika virus, 19 of whom have identifiable birth defects associated with the Zika virus.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
Why does this make you worried about the future of the human race? It's a virus that's among the most benign imaginable as long as you're not pregnant, and the means of beating it back (like, you know, screens on windows and air conditioning) are widely available in the developed world. The mosquitoes that transmit it cover a tiny fraction of the US (and aren't in most of the US), and even if other species can transmit it and it somehow becomes endemic across wide swaths of the US, it won't really ever be a concern to anyone but a tiny minority of people who will be able to take pretty easy precautions against it.
Your comment might make sense if you subbed in some kind of flu or even malaria, but Zika? On any kind of species-wide scale it's just not a problem, even at the olympics. The WHO is way more concerned about regular ole flu that no one gives a shit about because it doesn't have a scary name.
(And this is all ignoring that there's some pretty promising avenues toward complete eradication of vector mosquitoes in development, it's entirely possible that within our lifetimes not only Zika, but Yellow Fever, Chikungunya, West Nile, malaria, etc etc will all be history.)
07-31-2016, 06:06 PM
Mosquito borne illnesses:
Malaria: 214 million cases per year, 438,000 deaths per year
Yellow fever: 200,000 infections per year, 30,000 deaths per year (note, we are also in the midst of a yellow fever epidemic)
Dengue fever: 50 million - 500 million infections yearly, 10,000 - 20,000 deaths yearly
Zika virus: 1.5 million infections, no reported deaths (3500 cases of microcephaly, though)
And my favorite mosquito borne illness, Chikungunya virus: 1,118,763 suspected cases and 24,682 confirmed cases, 191 deaths.
BC
Add: that is not to diminish the concern for microcephaly. I wouldn't go to an endemic area if I were pregnant or planning to get pregnant, or the partner of someone who was pregnant or trying to get pregnant. I don't know of the Bryan twins specific personal situations.
Malaria: 214 million cases per year, 438,000 deaths per year
Yellow fever: 200,000 infections per year, 30,000 deaths per year (note, we are also in the midst of a yellow fever epidemic)
Dengue fever: 50 million - 500 million infections yearly, 10,000 - 20,000 deaths yearly
Zika virus: 1.5 million infections, no reported deaths (3500 cases of microcephaly, though)
And my favorite mosquito borne illness, Chikungunya virus: 1,118,763 suspected cases and 24,682 confirmed cases, 191 deaths.
BC
Add: that is not to diminish the concern for microcephaly. I wouldn't go to an endemic area if I were pregnant or planning to get pregnant, or the partner of someone who was pregnant or trying to get pregnant. I don't know of the Bryan twins specific personal situations.
Mosquito borne illnesses:
Malaria: 214 million cases per year, 438,000 deaths per year
Yellow fever: 200,000 infections per year, 30,000 deaths per year (note, we are also in the midst of a yellow fever epidemic)
Dengue fever: 50 million - 500 million infections yearly, 10,000 - 20,000 deaths yearly
Zika virus: 1.5 million infections, no reported deaths (3500 cases of microcephaly, though)
And my favorite mosquito borne illness, Chikungunya virus: 1,118,763 suspected cases and 24,682 confirmed cases, 191 deaths.
BC
Add: that is not to diminish the concern for microcephaly. I wouldn't go to an endemic area if I were pregnant or planning to get pregnant, or the partner of someone who was pregnant or trying to get pregnant. I don't know of the Bryan twins specific personal situations.
Malaria: 214 million cases per year, 438,000 deaths per year
Yellow fever: 200,000 infections per year, 30,000 deaths per year (note, we are also in the midst of a yellow fever epidemic)
Dengue fever: 50 million - 500 million infections yearly, 10,000 - 20,000 deaths yearly
Zika virus: 1.5 million infections, no reported deaths (3500 cases of microcephaly, though)
And my favorite mosquito borne illness, Chikungunya virus: 1,118,763 suspected cases and 24,682 confirmed cases, 191 deaths.
BC
Add: that is not to diminish the concern for microcephaly. I wouldn't go to an endemic area if I were pregnant or planning to get pregnant, or the partner of someone who was pregnant or trying to get pregnant. I don't know of the Bryan twins specific personal situations.
07-31-2016, 07:03 PM
(07-31-2016, 04:04 PM)stupac2 link Wrote:[quote author=Mick link=topic=15306.msg166922#msg166922 date=1469983485]
I'm really worried about the Zika virus and the future of the human race. It can be transferred by mosquitos and through sexual contact. As of today, the CDC claimed 1,658 cases in the United States, with all but one through travel-related means, but 4,729 in U. S. Territories, with 4,666 in Puerto Rico. There are 87 cases in California. There are 855 pregnant women in the United States and U. S. Territories (433 and 422 respectively) with the Zika virus, 19 of whom have identifiable birth defects associated with the Zika virus.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
Why does this make you worried about the future of the human race? It's a virus that's among the most benign imaginable as long as you're not pregnant, and the means of beating it back (like, you know, screens on windows and air conditioning) are widely available in the developed world. The mosquitoes that transmit it cover a tiny fraction of the US (and aren't in most of the US), and even if other species can transmit it and it somehow becomes endemic across wide swaths of the US, it won't really ever be a concern to anyone but a tiny minority of people who will be able to take pretty easy precautions against it.
Your comment might make sense if you subbed in some kind of flu or even malaria, but Zika? On any kind of species-wide scale it's just not a problem, even at the olympics. The WHO is way more concerned about regular ole flu that no one gives a stuff about because it doesn't have a scary name.
(And this is all ignoring that there's some pretty promising avenues toward complete eradication of vector mosquitoes in development, it's entirely possible that within our lifetimes not only Zika, but Yellow Fever, Chikungunya, West Nile, malaria, etc etc will all be history.)
[/quote]
Because Zika is different from the other illnesses you cite. Take malaria.
The parasite that creates malaria has been around for over 100,000 years, and developed with mechanized agriculture in human population. Zika was discovered in 1947, but the first outbreak didn't occur until 2007.
Malaria does not create microcephaly in fetuses. Zika does.
Malaria is not transmitted through sexual contact. Zika can be transmitted through males.
Malaria has very obvious symptoms. Often, Zika does not.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
(07-31-2016, 04:04 PM)stupac2 link Wrote:[quote author=Mick link=topic=15306.msg166922#msg166922 date=1469983485]
I'm really worried about the Zika virus and the future of the human race. It can be transferred by mosquitos and through sexual contact. As of today, the CDC claimed 1,658 cases in the United States, with all but one through travel-related means, but 4,729 in U. S. Territories, with 4,666 in Puerto Rico. There are 87 cases in California. There are 855 pregnant women in the United States and U. S. Territories (433 and 422 respectively) with the Zika virus, 19 of whom have identifiable birth defects associated with the Zika virus.
I don't mean to sound alarmist, but I'm really concerned.
Why does this make you worried about the future of the human race? It's a virus that's among the most benign imaginable as long as you're not pregnant, and the means of beating it back (like, you know, screens on windows and air conditioning) are widely available in the developed world. The mosquitoes that transmit it cover a tiny fraction of the US (and aren't in most of the US), and even if other species can transmit it and it somehow becomes endemic across wide swaths of the US, it won't really ever be a concern to anyone but a tiny minority of people who will be able to take pretty easy precautions against it.
Your comment might make sense if you subbed in some kind of flu or even malaria, but Zika? On any kind of species-wide scale it's just not a problem, even at the olympics. The WHO is way more concerned about regular ole flu that no one gives a stuff about because it doesn't have a scary name.
(And this is all ignoring that there's some pretty promising avenues toward complete eradication of vector mosquitoes in development, it's entirely possible that within our lifetimes not only Zika, but Yellow Fever, Chikungunya, West Nile, malaria, etc etc will all be history.)
[/quote]
Because Zika is different from the other illnesses you cite. Take malaria.
The parasite that creates malaria has been around for over 100,000 years, and developed with mechanized agriculture in human population. Zika was discovered in 1947, but the first outbreak didn't occur until 2007.
Malaria does not create microcephaly in fetuses. Zika does.
Malaria is not transmitted through sexual contact. Zika can be transmitted through males.
Malaria has very obvious symptoms. Often, Zika does not.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
08-01-2016, 09:42 AM
That Zika wasn't well known doesn't mean it's new. In fact, my understanding is that generally older viruses are less virulent, because we've evolved with them. And Zika comes from the cradle of humanity. It might be so weird precisely because it's old, evolutionarily speaking. (It's only showing up now because previously there hadn't been enough travel to support it, and we know so little about it because it's so mild.)
Also, about microcephaly, my understanding is that it only happens if you get infected for the first time when pregnant. So if it does become endemic all over the world cases will spike, then plummet, as people get infected as children and are then immune.
Anyway, if you want to be terrified of random viruses I'd pick something that's fast-evolving, like flu or a coronavirus.
Also, about microcephaly, my understanding is that it only happens if you get infected for the first time when pregnant. So if it does become endemic all over the world cases will spike, then plummet, as people get infected as children and are then immune.
Anyway, if you want to be terrified of random viruses I'd pick something that's fast-evolving, like flu or a coronavirus.
That Zika wasn't well known doesn't mean it's new. In fact, my understanding is that generally older viruses are less virulent, because we've evolved with them. And Zika comes from the cradle of humanity. It might be so weird precisely because it's old, evolutionarily speaking. (It's only showing up now because previously there hadn't been enough travel to support it, and we know so little about it because it's so mild.)
Also, about microcephaly, my understanding is that it only happens if you get infected for the first time when pregnant. So if it does become endemic all over the world cases will spike, then plummet, as people get infected as children and are then immune.
Anyway, if you want to be terrified of random viruses I'd pick something that's fast-evolving, like flu or a coronavirus.
Also, about microcephaly, my understanding is that it only happens if you get infected for the first time when pregnant. So if it does become endemic all over the world cases will spike, then plummet, as people get infected as children and are then immune.
Anyway, if you want to be terrified of random viruses I'd pick something that's fast-evolving, like flu or a coronavirus.
08-01-2016, 10:52 AM
1) Zika isn't a big threat because it's winter in Brazil and there aren't so many mosquitos there. It's probably more dangerous, from a Zika perspective, to be in Florida than in Brazil right at this moment.
2) Zika is very worrying. Public health people I'm friends with are worried sick about it. Besides the pregnancy risks, there seems to be a connection to the development of Gullian-Barre syndrome, which is problematic.
Getting back to the original point of the thread:
https://twitter.com/ROSGO21/status/760169404126683141
2) Zika is very worrying. Public health people I'm friends with are worried sick about it. Besides the pregnancy risks, there seems to be a connection to the development of Gullian-Barre syndrome, which is problematic.
Getting back to the original point of the thread:
https://twitter.com/ROSGO21/status/760169404126683141
1) Zika isn't a big threat because it's winter in Brazil and there aren't so many mosquitos there. It's probably more dangerous, from a Zika perspective, to be in Florida than in Brazil right at this moment.
2) Zika is very worrying. Public health people I'm friends with are worried sick about it. Besides the pregnancy risks, there seems to be a connection to the development of Gullian-Barre syndrome, which is problematic.
Getting back to the original point of the thread:
https://twitter.com/ROSGO21/status/760169404126683141
2) Zika is very worrying. Public health people I'm friends with are worried sick about it. Besides the pregnancy risks, there seems to be a connection to the development of Gullian-Barre syndrome, which is problematic.
Getting back to the original point of the thread:
https://twitter.com/ROSGO21/status/760169404126683141
08-01-2016, 11:01 AM
(08-01-2016, 09:42 AM)stupac2 link Wrote:Also, about microcephaly, my understanding is that it only happens if you get infected for the first time when pregnant. So if it does become endemic all over the world cases will spike, then plummet, as people get infected as children and are then immune.
That's what I've read...and that's why I'm not terribly concerned about it. I bet more babies are born with fetal alcohol syndrome in the USA than Zika-induced microencephaly worldwide each year :(
(08-01-2016, 09:42 AM)stupac2 link Wrote:Also, about microcephaly, my understanding is that it only happens if you get infected for the first time when pregnant. So if it does become endemic all over the world cases will spike, then plummet, as people get infected as children and are then immune.
That's what I've read...and that's why I'm not terribly concerned about it. I bet more babies are born with fetal alcohol syndrome in the USA than Zika-induced microencephaly worldwide each year :(
08-01-2016, 11:44 AM
(08-01-2016, 11:01 AM)fullmetal link Wrote:I bet more babies are born with fetal alcohol syndrome in the USA than Zika-induced microencephaly worldwide each year :(
Well, there are about 4 million births in the USA each year.
Fetal Alcohol Syndrome is estimated to affect between 0.02 and 0.9 percent of births (according to the fountain of all knowlege - Wikipedia).
By my calculation that would be between 800 and 36,000 cases each year. (pretty big range)
BC stated that there have been about 3500 cases of microencephaly reported associated with Zika.
So, plenty of room for your statement to be either right or wrong.
Worldwide, FAS would seem to be thousands of times more prevalent ... for now.
(08-01-2016, 11:01 AM)fullmetal link Wrote:I bet more babies are born with fetal alcohol syndrome in the USA than Zika-induced microencephaly worldwide each year :(
Well, there are about 4 million births in the USA each year.
Fetal Alcohol Syndrome is estimated to affect between 0.02 and 0.9 percent of births (according to the fountain of all knowlege - Wikipedia).
By my calculation that would be between 800 and 36,000 cases each year. (pretty big range)
BC stated that there have been about 3500 cases of microencephaly reported associated with Zika.
So, plenty of room for your statement to be either right or wrong.
Worldwide, FAS would seem to be thousands of times more prevalent ... for now.
08-01-2016, 01:05 PM
True. I also qualified the incidences of both FAS and Zika-microencephaly with "each year" so that 3,500 figure may or may not be less depending on when it started being tallied. Just an educated shot in the dark regarding public hysteria over novel pathogens vs. boring, well-established (and overlooked) causes of death. Certainly the number of drunk driving deaths in the USA would outstrip Zika-cephaly.
True. I also qualified the incidences of both FAS and Zika-microencephaly with "each year" so that 3,500 figure may or may not be less depending on when it started being tallied. Just an educated shot in the dark regarding public hysteria over novel pathogens vs. boring, well-established (and overlooked) causes of death. Certainly the number of drunk driving deaths in the USA would outstrip Zika-cephaly.
08-01-2016, 02:56 PM
Here's what the CDC has to say about Zika and GBS:
http://www.cdc.gov/zika/about/gbs-qa.html
I think it is important to strike the right balance between concern and alarm. There is a tendency to either ignore emergent infectious diseases when they appear to be happening in a far away land. There is, for example, a yellow fever epidemic going on in Africa that isn't getting nearly the press as Zika, even though it is killing tens of thousands of people a year. On the other hand, some diseases cause an unwarranted panic. Remember some people wanted to bar anyone from West Africa from coming to the US after the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. There needs to be a balance between the two which systematically investigates cases and eradicates mosquitoes in areas with an outbreak and protects the most vulnerable populations (in this case women who are pregnant or want to become pregnant), without resulting in a complete loss of reason.
Zika will come and go. It will probably infect a substantial proportion of people, and you will see some very sad and unfortunate cases of microcephaly as well as (possibly) an increase in the number of cases of GBS for a period of time. But after a while, most people will be immune to it, and it will fade from consciousness as the next emerging infectious disease takes hold.
BC
P.S. I agree with stupac that the biggest risk is probably going to be a new strain of influenza or a new coronavirus (or other respiratory virus).
http://www.cdc.gov/zika/about/gbs-qa.html
I think it is important to strike the right balance between concern and alarm. There is a tendency to either ignore emergent infectious diseases when they appear to be happening in a far away land. There is, for example, a yellow fever epidemic going on in Africa that isn't getting nearly the press as Zika, even though it is killing tens of thousands of people a year. On the other hand, some diseases cause an unwarranted panic. Remember some people wanted to bar anyone from West Africa from coming to the US after the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. There needs to be a balance between the two which systematically investigates cases and eradicates mosquitoes in areas with an outbreak and protects the most vulnerable populations (in this case women who are pregnant or want to become pregnant), without resulting in a complete loss of reason.
Zika will come and go. It will probably infect a substantial proportion of people, and you will see some very sad and unfortunate cases of microcephaly as well as (possibly) an increase in the number of cases of GBS for a period of time. But after a while, most people will be immune to it, and it will fade from consciousness as the next emerging infectious disease takes hold.
BC
P.S. I agree with stupac that the biggest risk is probably going to be a new strain of influenza or a new coronavirus (or other respiratory virus).
Here's what the CDC has to say about Zika and GBS:
http://www.cdc.gov/zika/about/gbs-qa.html
I think it is important to strike the right balance between concern and alarm. There is a tendency to either ignore emergent infectious diseases when they appear to be happening in a far away land. There is, for example, a yellow fever epidemic going on in Africa that isn't getting nearly the press as Zika, even though it is killing tens of thousands of people a year. On the other hand, some diseases cause an unwarranted panic. Remember some people wanted to bar anyone from West Africa from coming to the US after the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. There needs to be a balance between the two which systematically investigates cases and eradicates mosquitoes in areas with an outbreak and protects the most vulnerable populations (in this case women who are pregnant or want to become pregnant), without resulting in a complete loss of reason.
Zika will come and go. It will probably infect a substantial proportion of people, and you will see some very sad and unfortunate cases of microcephaly as well as (possibly) an increase in the number of cases of GBS for a period of time. But after a while, most people will be immune to it, and it will fade from consciousness as the next emerging infectious disease takes hold.
BC
P.S. I agree with stupac that the biggest risk is probably going to be a new strain of influenza or a new coronavirus (or other respiratory virus).
http://www.cdc.gov/zika/about/gbs-qa.html
I think it is important to strike the right balance between concern and alarm. There is a tendency to either ignore emergent infectious diseases when they appear to be happening in a far away land. There is, for example, a yellow fever epidemic going on in Africa that isn't getting nearly the press as Zika, even though it is killing tens of thousands of people a year. On the other hand, some diseases cause an unwarranted panic. Remember some people wanted to bar anyone from West Africa from coming to the US after the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. There needs to be a balance between the two which systematically investigates cases and eradicates mosquitoes in areas with an outbreak and protects the most vulnerable populations (in this case women who are pregnant or want to become pregnant), without resulting in a complete loss of reason.
Zika will come and go. It will probably infect a substantial proportion of people, and you will see some very sad and unfortunate cases of microcephaly as well as (possibly) an increase in the number of cases of GBS for a period of time. But after a while, most people will be immune to it, and it will fade from consciousness as the next emerging infectious disease takes hold.
BC
P.S. I agree with stupac that the biggest risk is probably going to be a new strain of influenza or a new coronavirus (or other respiratory virus).
08-01-2016, 03:02 PM
Here's the CDC fact sheet on FAS:
https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/fasd/data.html
Using medical and other records, CDC studies have identified 0.2 to 1.5 infants with FAS for every 1,000 live births in certain areas of the United States.1 The most recent CDC study analyzed medical and other records and found FAS in 0.3 out of 1,000 children from 7 to 9 years of age. 2
That's a somewhat narrower range than wikipedia (800 to 6000 cases per year). Using 0.3/1000, you get 1200 cases of FAS/yr in the US, which is fewer than the cases of microcephaly, but that's an apples-to-oranges comparison, since the microcephaly stat is worldwide. So far, there are only a handful of cases of microcephaly associated with Zika in the US.
BC
https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/fasd/data.html
Using medical and other records, CDC studies have identified 0.2 to 1.5 infants with FAS for every 1,000 live births in certain areas of the United States.1 The most recent CDC study analyzed medical and other records and found FAS in 0.3 out of 1,000 children from 7 to 9 years of age. 2
That's a somewhat narrower range than wikipedia (800 to 6000 cases per year). Using 0.3/1000, you get 1200 cases of FAS/yr in the US, which is fewer than the cases of microcephaly, but that's an apples-to-oranges comparison, since the microcephaly stat is worldwide. So far, there are only a handful of cases of microcephaly associated with Zika in the US.
BC
Here's the CDC fact sheet on FAS:
https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/fasd/data.html
Using medical and other records, CDC studies have identified 0.2 to 1.5 infants with FAS for every 1,000 live births in certain areas of the United States.1 The most recent CDC study analyzed medical and other records and found FAS in 0.3 out of 1,000 children from 7 to 9 years of age. 2
That's a somewhat narrower range than wikipedia (800 to 6000 cases per year). Using 0.3/1000, you get 1200 cases of FAS/yr in the US, which is fewer than the cases of microcephaly, but that's an apples-to-oranges comparison, since the microcephaly stat is worldwide. So far, there are only a handful of cases of microcephaly associated with Zika in the US.
BC
https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/fasd/data.html
Using medical and other records, CDC studies have identified 0.2 to 1.5 infants with FAS for every 1,000 live births in certain areas of the United States.1 The most recent CDC study analyzed medical and other records and found FAS in 0.3 out of 1,000 children from 7 to 9 years of age. 2
That's a somewhat narrower range than wikipedia (800 to 6000 cases per year). Using 0.3/1000, you get 1200 cases of FAS/yr in the US, which is fewer than the cases of microcephaly, but that's an apples-to-oranges comparison, since the microcephaly stat is worldwide. So far, there are only a handful of cases of microcephaly associated with Zika in the US.
BC
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