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He says over and over that "its no secret" that we run on first down, but he says that when we are successful we set up "explosive plays."Â I think those "explosive plays" always used to be play-action passes to receivers like Fleener, set up by an effective running game.
Shaw's dream is to run the ball on first down effectively enough to allow for grinding out first downs. Then when the opposing defense is completely caught up stopping the run, generally a couple of first downs into a series, we should be able to get "explosive plays" off of play action. If, however, our running on first down is not all that effective, then no one will bite on the play action and we will not get "explosive plays." It is almost as if he thinks we must get a couple of first downs on a drive before we have a chance for an "explosive play."
I do see and appreciate the philosophy. Over the years, I think we have had a tendency to harp on Shaw's predictability. Predictability can be a weapon if the predictable team is willing to very occasionally break its pattern for long gains. The successful Stanford offenses have been like that.Â
But here is what I do not understand. Our reputation for predictably running the ball is so strong now that we don't need to successfully run the ball for first down to find the opposing defenses selling out to stop the run in 8 man boxes. They simply do it from game planning design, not merely as an in-game adjustment. When they come out in an 8 man box on the first play of the game, why can't we play-action from the first play of the game? Â
All that said, I would not be the least surprised if Chryst is NOT the only offensive change today--but that they may have installed something significantly different. The press conference could even be part of a strategy to make the opponent think we are merely going to try to do our old offense better, when a number of factors point to some substantial changes. The O-line is simply not up to snuff and it won't be getting any better this week; inside run blocking is the most difficult assignment for an inexperienced player and the coaches have to know that. So I anticipate the offense is going to be featuring a lot more wrinkles to get CMac and Love into space over the middle or outside. I hope to see them much more involved in the passing game than ever. And hopefully Chryst has been practicing those routes with them all week. Here is hoping one of them takes a couple of those passes for "explosive plays" today.