02-05-2017, 08:42 PM
Preliminary:
With the emotional win over Washington and the celebratory win over U.SC, we now turn to a very dangerous opponent coming at a time when we might be expected to be emotionally down. Not a good combination at all. UCLA is 17-5 after coming off of a tough loss at C.al in a game they were expected to win. Our RPI is 9 and UCLA is 13. UCLA is led by pg Jordin Canada and forward Monique Billings, who we would have liked to have at Stanford. Each is averaging around 18ppg. Canada is shooting 43%, 33% from three, and has a humongous assist/to ratio. Billings shoots 49%, grabs 11 rpg and leads her team in blocks.
Overview:
For the first time this year, it was our defense that let us down, and not in the expected way. Billings and Canada were each held to 50% or less, and we could have survived their onslaught. But Kori Korver--who has not been having a particularly great shooting year, went 5/7 from three point range, with her bombs falling at critical moments, to decide the game. Throw in a lackluster first quarter, add a decidedly sub-par free throw shooting night, and polish it off with Kaylee, Nadia, and McCall combining to shoot a horrendous 5/21, and you have a recipe for a loss, which we richly deserved.
Before the Game:
Kate was asked if it was hard to get the team motivated after the Washington heroics and the 1000 win celebration, and she replied no. In fact, the team was nervous heading in to the SC game since they did not want to screw up the celebration, and getting that nervous energy out of the way was welcome. She emphasized how athletic UCLA was and that we would have to bring a double on Billings. UCLA also plays zone some of the time and we did not know how much of it we would see, but we had prepared for it. Preventing turnovers, boxing out, and getting back on defense quickly were the keys to the game, since UCLA scores so easily in transition.
Flow of the game:
The first quarter was pretty dreadful--not as dreadful as last year or even as the last quarter against SC when we scored 6 points. But it was still bad. Karlie got us started well with a jumper and a trey and a free throw, but then we got stuck on 6 points as Billings and Canada combined to score 11 points to give UCLA a 17-6 lead. Numerous Stanford shots rattled in and out, and each point we scratched out looked painful. The quarter ended UCLA 22 Stanford 12, and UCLA was scoring fluidly and our points were pained.
The second quarter reversed the emotional lethargy that began the game for Stanford. McPhee made two quick layups and Alanna made a trey, and just like that we were back to a three point game. Half way through the quarter we had knotted the score at 25 and then, after losing the lead again, we went on a 7-2 run to close out the half up 40-37 on a Bri trey.
While it was great to have erased a 12 point deficit and be back on top, McCall was 1/6 for 4 points and sat the last few minutes with 2 fouls--the second of which was a completely bogus charge--the replay showed the defender's feet had barely landed on the wood and were certainly not set. McCall was certainly discombobulated, and I rememberd Cori Close's defense against Chiney that held her to 4 points or somesuch in the Pac 12 tournament a few years ago. Clearly this was their strategy--sell out to stop McCall and Samuelson and make others beat them.
In the second half, UCLA's FG % went up from 39% to 50%, while ours went down from 50% to 36%. They shot better than we did when the game was on the line, and that is what cost us the game. Why? Billings began to hit fadeaway jumpers from short range that were indefensible--there is no way to defend that shot when it is falling. Canada was driving and hitting ridiculous layups that always seemed to fall. But those two were expected to score, and neither one of them did a Plum on us. It was when Kori Karver hit 3/4 and unheralded Nicole Kornet hit 2/3 and then sank 7/7 free throws that things turned uglier. Bri ran smack into a screen and collapsed to the floor, seemingly stunned at the end of the 3rd quarter, and to add insult to injury Alanna was simultaneously called for a foul. The third quarter ended UCLA 55 Stanford 51, but I did not sense a lot of energy or optimism in the house.
The fourth quarter gave us an opportunity, but we could not entirely close the gap. We got some stops, but we also threw the ball away needlessly on two critical possessions. So while overall turnovers were not bad at 5 in the second half, the turnovers by Britt at 3:36 and 3:08 were killers. It is interesting that Britt got us the two critical defensive plays to win the game at Washington at almost the same time in the game as these two mistakes. We never got closer than 5 points in the fourth quarter. This is the first time in quite a while when numerous fans were leaving Maples before the final buzzer. It was sad.
Performances:
As a team, we did some of the things that Kate said we needed to do. We kept our turnovers under control, we rebounded as well as UCLA, the number of fouls were about even--which means we had the advantage considering how many deliberate fouls we had to commit at the end. We hit treys at roughly the same rate they did and the overall FG% for the game was within 1% of each other. They had 3 more steals and 3 more blocks, while we had 3 more assists. You won't find an obvious culprit in those overall game stats. Here is one key to our loss: UCLA scored 22 points off of free throws, while we scored 13. That is actually the exact margin of the game. ALL of their free throws were shot by Billings, Canada, and Kornet. Some of the fouls were not justified, but some of them were, and while our defense held them down some, we did it by sending them to the line too often.
Individually, we would normally be happy to have 5 different players who each scored 12 or more points. Karlie was outstanding with 15 points and 7 assists.Â
Erica had 14 points on difficult 4/14 shooting and 12 rebounds in 31 minutes.
Alanna had 14 points on 6/12 shooting and 6 rebounds in 24 minutes. The scoop layup with her left hand as she pivots around her defender worked several times in a row.
McPhee had 13 points on 6/11 shooting, but she only went 1/5 from the line, and had several critical turnovers. She is such a terrific player but her consistency still seems to be an issue. 0/1 from three point range--until she starts shooting those with confidence the defenses are going to have a much easier job.
Kaylee started but played only 13 minutes, and Nadia played sparingly too. Tara "went small" for much of the game rather than play either of them for many minutes. I am not sure what is going on there, but it seems she trusted 6' Karlie to play the 4 rather than to put either of the taller posts in for more time than she could help. Clearly she saw something in the matchups.
In the daily battle of the point guards, it is hard to say who came out on top. Bri got hot--especially shooting the three towards the end when the outcome was hopeless, and wound up with 12 points on 4/6 shooting from three point range. She also had 1 assist and 0 turnovers. Marta's offense was challenged again--going 0/2 but 4/4 free throws. But she had 5 assists to 2 turnovers.Â
Conclusion:
This one hurt and will make it very difficult to win the Pac 12 regular season. It is a little early to do the math, but to have a good chance of at least tying OSU for the conference title we need to win out, in my opinion, sweeping the Mountain schools, C.al, and then going to Oregon and beating both Oregon teams on their home courts. That is a challenge. Heck, C.al beat UCLA and we couldn't. We have a whole bunch of challenging games ahead of us.
With the emotional win over Washington and the celebratory win over U.SC, we now turn to a very dangerous opponent coming at a time when we might be expected to be emotionally down. Not a good combination at all. UCLA is 17-5 after coming off of a tough loss at C.al in a game they were expected to win. Our RPI is 9 and UCLA is 13. UCLA is led by pg Jordin Canada and forward Monique Billings, who we would have liked to have at Stanford. Each is averaging around 18ppg. Canada is shooting 43%, 33% from three, and has a humongous assist/to ratio. Billings shoots 49%, grabs 11 rpg and leads her team in blocks.
Overview:
For the first time this year, it was our defense that let us down, and not in the expected way. Billings and Canada were each held to 50% or less, and we could have survived their onslaught. But Kori Korver--who has not been having a particularly great shooting year, went 5/7 from three point range, with her bombs falling at critical moments, to decide the game. Throw in a lackluster first quarter, add a decidedly sub-par free throw shooting night, and polish it off with Kaylee, Nadia, and McCall combining to shoot a horrendous 5/21, and you have a recipe for a loss, which we richly deserved.
Before the Game:
Kate was asked if it was hard to get the team motivated after the Washington heroics and the 1000 win celebration, and she replied no. In fact, the team was nervous heading in to the SC game since they did not want to screw up the celebration, and getting that nervous energy out of the way was welcome. She emphasized how athletic UCLA was and that we would have to bring a double on Billings. UCLA also plays zone some of the time and we did not know how much of it we would see, but we had prepared for it. Preventing turnovers, boxing out, and getting back on defense quickly were the keys to the game, since UCLA scores so easily in transition.
Flow of the game:
The first quarter was pretty dreadful--not as dreadful as last year or even as the last quarter against SC when we scored 6 points. But it was still bad. Karlie got us started well with a jumper and a trey and a free throw, but then we got stuck on 6 points as Billings and Canada combined to score 11 points to give UCLA a 17-6 lead. Numerous Stanford shots rattled in and out, and each point we scratched out looked painful. The quarter ended UCLA 22 Stanford 12, and UCLA was scoring fluidly and our points were pained.
The second quarter reversed the emotional lethargy that began the game for Stanford. McPhee made two quick layups and Alanna made a trey, and just like that we were back to a three point game. Half way through the quarter we had knotted the score at 25 and then, after losing the lead again, we went on a 7-2 run to close out the half up 40-37 on a Bri trey.
While it was great to have erased a 12 point deficit and be back on top, McCall was 1/6 for 4 points and sat the last few minutes with 2 fouls--the second of which was a completely bogus charge--the replay showed the defender's feet had barely landed on the wood and were certainly not set. McCall was certainly discombobulated, and I rememberd Cori Close's defense against Chiney that held her to 4 points or somesuch in the Pac 12 tournament a few years ago. Clearly this was their strategy--sell out to stop McCall and Samuelson and make others beat them.
In the second half, UCLA's FG % went up from 39% to 50%, while ours went down from 50% to 36%. They shot better than we did when the game was on the line, and that is what cost us the game. Why? Billings began to hit fadeaway jumpers from short range that were indefensible--there is no way to defend that shot when it is falling. Canada was driving and hitting ridiculous layups that always seemed to fall. But those two were expected to score, and neither one of them did a Plum on us. It was when Kori Karver hit 3/4 and unheralded Nicole Kornet hit 2/3 and then sank 7/7 free throws that things turned uglier. Bri ran smack into a screen and collapsed to the floor, seemingly stunned at the end of the 3rd quarter, and to add insult to injury Alanna was simultaneously called for a foul. The third quarter ended UCLA 55 Stanford 51, but I did not sense a lot of energy or optimism in the house.
The fourth quarter gave us an opportunity, but we could not entirely close the gap. We got some stops, but we also threw the ball away needlessly on two critical possessions. So while overall turnovers were not bad at 5 in the second half, the turnovers by Britt at 3:36 and 3:08 were killers. It is interesting that Britt got us the two critical defensive plays to win the game at Washington at almost the same time in the game as these two mistakes. We never got closer than 5 points in the fourth quarter. This is the first time in quite a while when numerous fans were leaving Maples before the final buzzer. It was sad.
Performances:
As a team, we did some of the things that Kate said we needed to do. We kept our turnovers under control, we rebounded as well as UCLA, the number of fouls were about even--which means we had the advantage considering how many deliberate fouls we had to commit at the end. We hit treys at roughly the same rate they did and the overall FG% for the game was within 1% of each other. They had 3 more steals and 3 more blocks, while we had 3 more assists. You won't find an obvious culprit in those overall game stats. Here is one key to our loss: UCLA scored 22 points off of free throws, while we scored 13. That is actually the exact margin of the game. ALL of their free throws were shot by Billings, Canada, and Kornet. Some of the fouls were not justified, but some of them were, and while our defense held them down some, we did it by sending them to the line too often.
Individually, we would normally be happy to have 5 different players who each scored 12 or more points. Karlie was outstanding with 15 points and 7 assists.Â
Erica had 14 points on difficult 4/14 shooting and 12 rebounds in 31 minutes.
Alanna had 14 points on 6/12 shooting and 6 rebounds in 24 minutes. The scoop layup with her left hand as she pivots around her defender worked several times in a row.
McPhee had 13 points on 6/11 shooting, but she only went 1/5 from the line, and had several critical turnovers. She is such a terrific player but her consistency still seems to be an issue. 0/1 from three point range--until she starts shooting those with confidence the defenses are going to have a much easier job.
Kaylee started but played only 13 minutes, and Nadia played sparingly too. Tara "went small" for much of the game rather than play either of them for many minutes. I am not sure what is going on there, but it seems she trusted 6' Karlie to play the 4 rather than to put either of the taller posts in for more time than she could help. Clearly she saw something in the matchups.
In the daily battle of the point guards, it is hard to say who came out on top. Bri got hot--especially shooting the three towards the end when the outcome was hopeless, and wound up with 12 points on 4/6 shooting from three point range. She also had 1 assist and 0 turnovers. Marta's offense was challenged again--going 0/2 but 4/4 free throws. But she had 5 assists to 2 turnovers.Â
Conclusion:
This one hurt and will make it very difficult to win the Pac 12 regular season. It is a little early to do the math, but to have a good chance of at least tying OSU for the conference title we need to win out, in my opinion, sweeping the Mountain schools, C.al, and then going to Oregon and beating both Oregon teams on their home courts. That is a challenge. Heck, C.al beat UCLA and we couldn't. We have a whole bunch of challenging games ahead of us.



