09-18-2017, 11:48 AM
(09-18-2017, 10:54 AM)washingtonismoney link Wrote:Right. But what I'm saying is that in a of exceedingly large proportions percentage of scenarios, the level of evidence is insufficient to convince you of the switch. If the level of evidence was sufficient, chances are more likely that you screwed up the initial decision rather than becoming better informed. Now, better to correct an error than persist in it -- but it's still an error. If Little was the right guy for game 3 he was, in all probability, the right guy in game 1.OK, we just don't agree. I think how a player performs in an actual game is critically important. Sometimes they don't perform nearly as well as one would expect from their practice play, or even their history. Now, you can say that the coach should have known that before game one and made a different decision, but I reply that there is no way to know that until it happens. Tucker played OK at RT as a sophomore, even in real games, but couldn't do so as a junior. You are saying the coaches should have known that was going to happen without actually playing a game, and not start him? This kind of thing happens too often to support the idea that the initial decision was bad and could/should have been avoided. Chryst and Burns? Browne and Darnold? All avoidable mistakes and screwed up initial decisions? It happens too frequently to support that hypothesis. NFL draft picks should never be busts, either. "Good Decision, Bad Outcome" is a real possibility, especially in personnel evaluation.

