(06-20-2019, 10:55 PM)BostonCard Wrote: So, uh, ok the 13th goal did wind up being superfluous, as the US gets its revenge on Sweden to make goal differential irrelevant. Congrats to the USWNT who moves onto the knockout round.
BC
Only needing a draw to win the group (because of better goal differential) was useful, though. It allowed us to ease up just a bit in the second half, knowing we could concede two goals and still win the group. But yes, the 13th goal stopped mattering as soon as Sweden only managed 5 against Thailand in the second game. You can't know that in advance, of course.
It looks like Sweden made some lineup changes against us, suggesting the coach was somewhat content to finish in second place and thus avoid playing France. I'm not sure that playing #5 Canada and then #2 Germany is any more desirable than playing #13 Spain and then #4 France, even with the match being played
in France, but that's what some were suggesting
we do to avoid France. Sweden kept coming forward, of course, so even if the Swedish coaches wanted to avoid France until the final, the players on the field didn't get that memo.
Spain is a good, technically sound team, but they've had trouble finishing and converting possession into goals. This one feels like a 2-0 U.S. win where we have the bulk of possession, but where Spain stays sufficiently organized that we struggle to convert
our possession into more goals. (We beat them 1-0 in Spain back in a January friendly.) But our defense will be tested more than they have been so far, and even Sweden wasn't as good technically in the midfield as Spain is.
In the leadup to the World Cup, Spain has lost a couple of close matches to good teams (1-0 to us, 2-1 to #3 England), tied a couple of other excellent teams (0-0 vs. #5 Canada, 1-1 vs. #7 Japan), and beaten some good teams (2-0 vs. #8 the Netherlands, 2-1 over #10 Brazil). On the outlier ends of the spectrum, they beat #46 Cameroon 4-0 and lost 0-3 to #28 Poland. Bottom line: we'll have to work very hard to break them down. This is the kind of match where we'll benefit greatly from Jill Ellis's tactical shift after the 2016 Olympics to emphasize technical skill and ball movement in midfield rather than the brute force approach we sometimes used to have out there. Having Rose Lavelle directing traffic rather than Carli Lloyd means a much more efficient and dangerous attack overall. (This isn't a diss to Lloyd, either. She's just more of a natural goalscorer and center forward, and she was being asked to be a center/attacking midfielder. She's a power forward, not a point guard, and Lavelle is as good a point guard as there is right now.)