10-19-2025, 12:33 PM
1. A homecoming win! The Reich era will be remembered for letting the home fans go home happy. After it took Stanford five years to win three FBS games at home, Reich has done it in three games (read it again stat of the week). This is the first time we've had three home wins in a season since 2019 and the first time we've started 3-0 at home since 2018. It's hard to overstate the importance of giving fans something to cheer, especially as Luck works with some apparent success to revitalize enthusiasm around the program. There are plenty of warts still on the program but at the very least 2025 will end up being a year fans could leave campus happy a few times. This was also a big enough win to give us hope this season ends up demonstrating on-field progress over recent years. We don't yet know that will be the case but seems like it could be. The win moves us up to #86 in Sagarin (SP+ likes us less, down at #101), which would definitely be better than the #101 and #102 in the Taylor years and would get us back to the late Shaw level of #89 and #87 his last two years. My goal for this season was top 80 and that seems reachable. [We've had scoreboard performances this year befitting #79 (Hawaii is better than we thought), #108 (BYU is good but we were not), #80 (Boston College is horrific, as bad as we were the last two years), #143 (Virginia is good but we were not), #131 (a still really bad #102 if we treat San Jose State as a neutral site game), #108 (SMU is good but we were not), and #32 (obviously last night was the highlight of the season to beat a program of Florida State's reputation and ACC-bullying financial heft/scorn heaped on us ever since we joined, even if 1-11 in ACC play essentially mandates they fire Norvell)]
2. Watching in real-time past 2am my time I felt a mixture of pride, relief, and embarrassment that we won in significant part due to a dirty play that helped us a lot and despite the absurd comedy of errors by both teams. I felt more drained than happy and considered the game an ugly one I was glad we came out on top of more than a memorable win or statement. I still feel most of that but, after reflecting on the game this morning, I am much more positive about our performance and genuinely happy with what we accomplished. Don't get me wrong, there's a lot that can be said to downplay beating Florida State - literally everybody in the conference has beaten them for well over a year now, they were playing well after midnight by their body clocks after cross-country travel, there were several crucial calls that went our way (though in fairness the reverse is true too and this struck me as a delilishly hard game to officiate more than one the refs got particularly wrong in either direction), we might not have won without a nauseating play that knocked their star QB out, their inexcusable indiscipline may have cost them them a win on top of everything else (bailing us out with the offsides on the red zone field goal attempt to give us second lifebefore Williams' touchdown, the roughing the passer to give Brown a boost on the one drive he did well, getting fooled on the hard count to let us try to keep running clock with a two score lead into the fourth quarter....a break we squandered with the first of several insufficiently turtlish sequence by Reich). So why do I feel pretty good and am having that emotion eclipse embarrassment? Because Florida State is likely a top 40 team and, regardless of where they finish in the computers, haven't lost to anybody by more than eight points (Virginia) and we beat them at the top end of that range and didn't trail at any point and legitimately outplayed them in important respects. This was a very good win.
3. There were heroes for us in all phases so I won't begrudge Reich calling it a team win, but the lion's share of the credit goes to the defense. Whereas on offense we scored 1.82 points per non-garbage drive (excluding the kneel at the end of the half), making the #86 points per drive defense look like #36, we only gave up 1.08 points per drive, making the #10 points per drive offense look like #128. The astonishing stat: we just held a Gus Malzahn offense to 13 points. More pleasantly shocking things don't happen very often for Stanford football. The most Florida State had been stifled this year was top 25 defense Miami holding them to 22 points. You have to go back 14 years to the UCF days since Malzahn only scored 13 and he hasn't scored less than that going back 69 games since a Dan Lanning-led Georgia defense did it to Auburn in the second game of the pandemic. Holy guacamole, what did Andy Thompson just dial up? And it wasn't a lucky scoreboard outcome as much as a generalized squelching of a very good offense. This was the lowest yards per play we've given up in the last five games and we did it against the best offense we've faced this year. We were a yard and a freaking half per play under Florida State's average this season. Miami is the only team to hold them to fewer yards per play. The next closest was Alabama, which we did almost a half yard per play better than. What in the world? I did not know our defense was capable of this. For what it's worth, the offense averaged well under Florida State's average yards per play allowed and only Kent State and East Texas A&M have done worse on offense in either yards per play or scoring, so this was definitely won by the defense.
4. What made the defensive performance so awesome? Against a team with a super super super senior offensive line and a QB with Castellanos' dynamism I was shocked to see 3,09 yards per carry allowed, especially since our run defense this season hasn't looked good against good teams. This was truly outstanding given the opponent as no team, not even Miami and Alabama, has bottled up the Noles like this. The pass defense bent but didn't break, similarly giving a truly outstanding performance given the opponent. Malzahn is one of the best of the best in dialing up passing offense so giving up 8.9 yards per attempt is better than it sounds - Alabama gave up 10.9, Pitt gave up 10.7, and we came in 0.8 yards per attempt below the Seminole average. Keeping Castellanos out of the endzone via the air was even more notable. In the three other ACC games he had been averaging 2.33 passing touchdowns per game. Miami is the only team this year to hold Florida State to a worse passer rating. Giving up the Hail Mary to give them a chance was gross but our guys were clearly playing to keep the Noles in front of them and prevent the touchdown and couldn't have predicted the clock gift Florida State got. In light of that I think the pass defense may have been even better than the stats indicated, which was already a very impressive performance.
2. Watching in real-time past 2am my time I felt a mixture of pride, relief, and embarrassment that we won in significant part due to a dirty play that helped us a lot and despite the absurd comedy of errors by both teams. I felt more drained than happy and considered the game an ugly one I was glad we came out on top of more than a memorable win or statement. I still feel most of that but, after reflecting on the game this morning, I am much more positive about our performance and genuinely happy with what we accomplished. Don't get me wrong, there's a lot that can be said to downplay beating Florida State - literally everybody in the conference has beaten them for well over a year now, they were playing well after midnight by their body clocks after cross-country travel, there were several crucial calls that went our way (though in fairness the reverse is true too and this struck me as a delilishly hard game to officiate more than one the refs got particularly wrong in either direction), we might not have won without a nauseating play that knocked their star QB out, their inexcusable indiscipline may have cost them them a win on top of everything else (bailing us out with the offsides on the red zone field goal attempt to give us second lifebefore Williams' touchdown, the roughing the passer to give Brown a boost on the one drive he did well, getting fooled on the hard count to let us try to keep running clock with a two score lead into the fourth quarter....a break we squandered with the first of several insufficiently turtlish sequence by Reich). So why do I feel pretty good and am having that emotion eclipse embarrassment? Because Florida State is likely a top 40 team and, regardless of where they finish in the computers, haven't lost to anybody by more than eight points (Virginia) and we beat them at the top end of that range and didn't trail at any point and legitimately outplayed them in important respects. This was a very good win.
3. There were heroes for us in all phases so I won't begrudge Reich calling it a team win, but the lion's share of the credit goes to the defense. Whereas on offense we scored 1.82 points per non-garbage drive (excluding the kneel at the end of the half), making the #86 points per drive defense look like #36, we only gave up 1.08 points per drive, making the #10 points per drive offense look like #128. The astonishing stat: we just held a Gus Malzahn offense to 13 points. More pleasantly shocking things don't happen very often for Stanford football. The most Florida State had been stifled this year was top 25 defense Miami holding them to 22 points. You have to go back 14 years to the UCF days since Malzahn only scored 13 and he hasn't scored less than that going back 69 games since a Dan Lanning-led Georgia defense did it to Auburn in the second game of the pandemic. Holy guacamole, what did Andy Thompson just dial up? And it wasn't a lucky scoreboard outcome as much as a generalized squelching of a very good offense. This was the lowest yards per play we've given up in the last five games and we did it against the best offense we've faced this year. We were a yard and a freaking half per play under Florida State's average this season. Miami is the only team to hold them to fewer yards per play. The next closest was Alabama, which we did almost a half yard per play better than. What in the world? I did not know our defense was capable of this. For what it's worth, the offense averaged well under Florida State's average yards per play allowed and only Kent State and East Texas A&M have done worse on offense in either yards per play or scoring, so this was definitely won by the defense.
4. What made the defensive performance so awesome? Against a team with a super super super senior offensive line and a QB with Castellanos' dynamism I was shocked to see 3,09 yards per carry allowed, especially since our run defense this season hasn't looked good against good teams. This was truly outstanding given the opponent as no team, not even Miami and Alabama, has bottled up the Noles like this. The pass defense bent but didn't break, similarly giving a truly outstanding performance given the opponent. Malzahn is one of the best of the best in dialing up passing offense so giving up 8.9 yards per attempt is better than it sounds - Alabama gave up 10.9, Pitt gave up 10.7, and we came in 0.8 yards per attempt below the Seminole average. Keeping Castellanos out of the endzone via the air was even more notable. In the three other ACC games he had been averaging 2.33 passing touchdowns per game. Miami is the only team this year to hold Florida State to a worse passer rating. Giving up the Hail Mary to give them a chance was gross but our guys were clearly playing to keep the Noles in front of them and prevent the touchdown and couldn't have predicted the clock gift Florida State got. In light of that I think the pass defense may have been even better than the stats indicated, which was already a very impressive performance.

