I thought of using the following scoring system:
This system reflects that the more people participate, the more difficult is to be the closest to the actual score, and thus, it gives higher rewards the more people you beat in terms of accuracy.
Also, some people suggested not granting points at all if a poster predicts the wrong team to win. I prefer the 5 point penalty for various reasons but mostly, because I feel that the statistical component in football results is too often overlooked. If someone predicts a close game, and the game is indeed close but with the opposite winner, for me that predictor generally understands the game better than other person who chose the winning team in a 40-point blowout.
- Posters are ordered in terms of total error with respect to the final score, defined as |PredStanford-RealStanford| + |PredRival-RealRival|. If the same spread is predicted, the first tie-breaker is absolute spread, and then accuracy of the game description. For the first 3 weeks the first tiebreaker is absolute spread, and then total error.
- Posters get a point for each poster they are ahead of in this list.
- If the correct score is predicted, the poster gets 10 additional points.
- If a poster predicts the wrong team winning, 5 points are subtracted.
This system reflects that the more people participate, the more difficult is to be the closest to the actual score, and thus, it gives higher rewards the more people you beat in terms of accuracy.
Also, some people suggested not granting points at all if a poster predicts the wrong team to win. I prefer the 5 point penalty for various reasons but mostly, because I feel that the statistical component in football results is too often overlooked. If someone predicts a close game, and the game is indeed close but with the opposite winner, for me that predictor generally understands the game better than other person who chose the winning team in a 40-point blowout.
| Rank | Poster | Points | Av. error | Av. bias | Av. off. bias | Predictions |
| 1. | Leftcoast | 346 | 15.8 | -1.5 | -5.2 | 13 |
| 2. | Extra Point | 334 | 16.5 | +2.8 | +0.7 | 13 |
| 3. | Griffin78 | 296 | 17.5 | +3.1 | +2.5 | 13 |
| 4. | Publius | 284 | 17.9 | -2.1 | -4.1 | 13 |
| 5. | Kevin Gemmell | 280 | 16.3 | -5.5 | -2.1 | 13 |
| 6. | SUBuddha | 277 | 17.2 | -0.5 | +1.6 | 12 |
| 7. | Hank 91 | 276 | 18.0 | +5.2 | +1.8 | 13 |
| 8. | PrinceLightfoot | 275 | 20.0 | +7.0 | +3.1 | 12 |
| 9. | CompSci87 | 271 | 18.5 | +4.5 | +0.8 | 13 |
| 10. | JeffInCorvallis | 269 | 17.1 | -4.9 | -3.7 | 13 |
| --- | --------------- | ---- | --------- | --------- | --------- | --------- |
| 11. | pefloresjr | 268 | 19.1 | -0.8 | +1.7 | 12 |
| 12. | Renaissance Man | 266 | 15.9 | -0.5 | +1.6 | 11 |
| 13. | CrazedZooChimp | 263 | 18.8 | +2.2 | -1.7 | 13 |
| 14. | FarmBoy | 261 | 19.2 | -0.1 | +0.7 | 13 |
| 15. | Ted Miller | 259 | 17.4 | -6.8 | -3.6 | 13 |
| 16. | garvin | 255 | 17.6 | +0.1 | -0.6 | 13 |
| 17. | socalstanfan1 | 254 | 17.2 | -2.6 | -4.1 | 11 |
| 18. | Farm93 | 245 | 18.7 | +1.6 | +0.1 | 13 |
| 19. | pcgoode | 242 | 18.3 | +2.1 | +2.5 | 11 |
| 20. | 81alum | 239 | 20.2 | -3.4 | -0.8 | 13 |
| --- | --------------- | ---- | --------- | --------- | --------- | --------- |
| 21. | OutsiderFan | 236 | 18.3 | +2.5 | +2.3 | 13 |
| 22. | washingtonismoney | 231 | 16.4 | +4.8 | +1.3 | 10 |
| 23. | Gauss | 222 | 21.4 | -2.8 | -3.7 | 13 |
| 24. | Card Fan in OR | 210 | 19.3 | +4.2 | +2.9 | 13 |
| 25. | Mick | 202 | 17.8 | -2.4 | +0.2 | 13 |
| === | =============== | ==== | ========= | ========= | ========= | ========= |
| Board averages | 18.4 | +2.0 | +0.4 | 8.1 |

