From my own crystal ball, there is too much drama in the responses here.
I probably read the law too quickly, but I don't see it would really change the overall landscape much, in any direction. I certainly see nothing that would "destroy the NCAA" in Sherman's words. I don't see any measure that would have a substantial impact on athletic department revenue streams or basic methods of operation.
I also don't see a big windfall for many athletes, and almost none for the vast majority of NCAA athletes. A rough guess would be maybe 200 have real endorsement potential and receive significant cash, another ~2000 would receive a bit of booster "endorsement" pay, possibly several hundred who will be able to take advantage of the general freedom to run side-gigs for a bit of cash, and the balance of about 457,000 NCAA athletes see nothing different.
A few agents will make some money, and more "agents" will siphon off a fair amount of the minor money the 2000 above would receive.
What it does appear to do is make booster payments to lure star players to their favorite team legal, as long as the player throws in an autograph or something. That will further drive the recruiting inequities in football and men's basketball. In the short run most fans won't care much, but in the long term I wonder how much popularity a sport that consists of say a dozen halves spending most of their time pummeling another 100 have-nots can really sustain.
Stanford is a have in non-revenue sports, and could become moreso. As noted, Stanford has relatively rich alums and generally more likely to have the single rich-guy fan for many sports who desperately wants to collect his favorite athlete's autograph - particularly during the time they decide which school to attend.
(10-02-2019, 10:54 AM)CowboyIndian Wrote: I see a tiered system in the future for college football, anyway.
You have very good vision.
There will probably be a double tier at the top - let's call it the Power 5 and then the Group of 5.
The next level we'll call FCS.
Then maybe Division 2 and Division 3.
(10-01-2019, 04:16 PM)CowboyIndian Wrote: If I were a NCAA member institution, I would try to get my fellow members to agree to have any (maybe not all) monies earned through image and likeness go toward defraying the cost of the athlete's scholarship.
Of course getting fellow NCAA members to agree is called making a rule, which are generally designed to rein in those few rogue holdouts.
At any rate, I think the California law has language forbidding such "punishment" of students for accepting such payments. And if it doesn't it could soon enough.
(10-01-2019, 11:14 AM)ColoradoTree Wrote: with some bills, like one pending in New York, going further and permitting students to hire agents or receive a specific share of athletic revenue
The California bill permits students to hire agents.
(09-30-2019, 05:55 PM)M T Wrote: I won't mind seeing football and basketball minor leagues form and taking the players that aren't interested in the 40-year or even 4-year commitment.
(09-11-2019, 04:46 PM)81alum Wrote: As I've said here before, I endorse the baseball model, since it gives players the choice of turning pro or going to college--but not doing both at the same time.
While I kind of agree, there are at least two issues that give me pause.
1. It seems likely to me that if college football and basketball were structured like baseball, then eventually their popularity would be about the same as college baseball. That's fine in and of itself, but it would wipe out the money source for most all ncaa sports. That would hugely restrict the opportunities and level of play for hundreds of thousands of college students.
2. I don't have much direct knowledge of the minor league baseball world, but I did have some familiarity with Canadian hockey some years ago. Hockey has a college option in both Canada and the US (US college scholarships much better), but the sport really relies (relied?) upon the major junior leagues for its professionals. That keeps much of the corruption out of colleges but also produces a ton of mid-twenties washouts with no savings, no college degree, sometimes no high school degree, and no idea how to proceed with life.
At least in the college football/basketball system the washouts have exposure to college and often either a degree or a route back to get a degree that can provide a new direction.