Some things to note about the new dashboard.
First, the hospitalization numbers are about the beds in use now, not the total number of hospitalizations. The new number is a critical number to help us understand the situation at the hospital today, and it is probably good for estimating the number of currently infected individuals, but it doesn't give us a way to estimate whether the total number of positive results is close to the total number of cases. We'll probably need to use something like today's positives vs today's new hospitalizations. BUT, then we don't have today's new hospitalizations; we only have today's net hospitalizations (we will cheer when it goes negative). If we only have one number, probably what we are given now is the critical one.
In case you didn't notice, you can click on the graphs and do things, such as show as a table or to show a single's day's numbers. (I'm haven't found a way to export the table)
The number of cases that tested positive, ordered by date received, is a LOT SMOOTHER than what had previously been reported. i'd guess a lot of the noisy behavior was probably the collection & posting of the numbers by the Public Health Department. By eyeball, a fitted curve should peak around March 26 (55) or March 27 (72). (Discount March 31's numbers as I'm guessing that is a partial day total.)
If you take the number of positive results through the (partial) day of March 31 (956), and add the main dashboard's new cases (63), you get today's new total of 1019. Some of that 63 probably belongs on March 31 and some April 1.
I initially was impressed that the 1758 acute hospital bed + 300 ICU beds can be supplemented by a surge capacity of 1461.
But then the total seemed low. A recent
Mother Jones article indicated 3760 beds.
AHD.org indicates 1.85 beds in short-term acute hospitals per 1000 population for the state, which would correspond to 3700 beds)
But the total is only 3519 beds, or 1.76 per 1000 people. The only states with a lower ratio are Washington(1.7) and Oregon (1.6) per
KFF.org.
At the country level, of the 41 listed at Wikipedia, only Colombia, Mexico and India have fewer
beds per capita.
No wonder the Public Health Directory pulled the trigger early on stay-at-home: Santa Clara County is very short of hospital beds, based on the number of people.