Posts: 30,090
Threads: 2,136
Joined: Dec 2013
First of all, you cannot possibly look at the data on the health and safety of athletes who play football and conclude that "more is better". More means more chance of injury, more concussions, more sub-concussive traumatic injury, and a more likelihood of long term adverse consequences that we are only just starting to understand. And "more" doesn't mean more compensation to these student athletes who have gone from playing 12 games a season 20 years ago to as many as 17 games in a season under this new rule. More is not better for the student athletes, of which the NCAA is at least supposed to pretend to care about. The more that the NCAA becomes a revenue-maximizing venture, the less it is possible to keep the pretense that it is an amateur venture, and the more it looks like a crappy facsimile of the NFL. The NCAA's brand, such as it is, is that it is suppose to represent student athletes competing. If it becomes a pseudo-professional minor league, it will garner as much interest as minor league baseball, which is to say local interest in places that don't have major league teams, and little interest elsewhere.
Moreover, "more" doesn't mean that viewership will continue to expand. We are probably close to "peak football" anyways, with football viewership likely to decline in the future as there is greater competition for audience attention and younger generations are just less into football than older generations. The NFL just increased the number of games in the regular season from 16 to 17. College football may be increasing its post-season from 4 to 12 teams. This will not generate a significant number of new fans; what it will do is shift what fans will watch. Sure, fans will tune into the playoffs, but they will do so instead of going to or watching bowl games (some may consider this a feature rather than a bug, and I will be the first to say that there are too many bowl games). It also means that the regular season will be devalued; once the 100 or so teams are out of consideration for the playoffs, why watch them play? A 5-4 team, which in the past may have generated interest as it pushed to become bowl eligible, will be out of the playoff race with three games remaining, and will be as interesting as a team on the bubble for the NIT.
This smacks of a desperate attempt by the conferences to keep the revenue flowing even as football, and especially college football is going to start facing greater headwinds, and to me, it is looking like they are sacrificing the golden goose in the process.
As for Stanford, I would not have traded Rose Bowl trips in 2012, 2013, and 2015 for a berth in a 12-team playoff.
BC