(11-09-2021, 01:55 PM)murky Wrote: (11-09-2021, 11:18 AM)teejers1 Wrote: Shaw has only proven that with superior players handed to him he can win playing his plodding style of offense. THAT is what he has proven.
Well, that and that he has an uncanny ability to make some of the worst game management decisions in Stanford history.
He has shown no ability to sustain anything, particularly with his own players; he has shown no ability to out-coach an opponent. The Oregon game mentioned above is the closest thing to that, but I believe that was necessity, as opposed to some deep/clever thinking. Indeed, in that game Stanford had no choice. It had no other kind of offense other than slamming a RB into the line play after play after play. Did I support it at the time? Yes, absolutely, because it gave Stanford its best chance to win. 3+ yards a carry for 40+ minutes. Remarkable. Do I think it was a great offensive scheme? No. Same holds for the season Bryce Love went wild on 50+ yard TD scampers. Handing the ball off to Bryce and hoping he makes a house call is not a great offensive scheme. And when Bryce went down with (a predictable injury), we saw what remained of that offensive scheme. Give me the guy running the O show at Purdue (or maybe even Wake). Do they have superior athletes. Do they rely on a generational talent to win games? The point is that there are lots of "non-gimmicky" coaches out there who can install a real offense and understand game management far better than the current guy. And oh yeah, it might . . . just might encourage fans to show up and watch (though that horse may have left the barn too long ago to retrieve).
From 2015-2018, 5 years removed from the previous head coach, Stanford averaged 10 wins per season under Shaw over those 4 years. Who handed him those players?
C'mon. THIS is Shaw qua Shaw as head coach - with no lingering benefits or penalties from prior regime.
But to answer your question, Shaw won in 2011, 2012, and 2013 (at minimum), with players recruited by Harbaugh. Given those players (the number of NFL players is pretty astounding, really), the record is no surprise. Given the record AND Stanford's natural pull, Shaw was able to recruit very well early in his tenure. And those good classes carried him through most/all the period you highlight.
But guess what? Over time, Shaw has lost the residual benefits from prior regime. He has to recruit now on his record and his players only, and that's been the case for several years now. And the decline is very noticeable. According to a well-versed poster on TOS, the last 3 years (including the 4-2 Covid year), Stanford has been rated in 60s/70s per Sagarin. Our recruiting rankings aren't that bad, which confirms my belief that Shaw's teams underperform to talent (always have, even the years with good or very good records).
As I stated at outset of the season, we may just now be seeing what Shaw at "sea level" really is.
If you think that unfairly detracts from credit that Shaw should rightfully get, ask yourself these questions:
1. do you think McCaffrey would sign with Stanford today?
2. how do you explain the difficulties Stanford has had on recruiting trail of late, particularly in light of the reality that Stanford remains the "it" school for so, so many kids and parents?
I think the answers are (i) "no," and (ii) the football-first kids no longer want to enroll at Stanford because the football program is no longer a NY6 program (or maybe not even a regular bowl participant program). And it's harder to win without the football first DUDES.