Often the last few minutes of a close game are very different than all the rest of the game.
- larger gambles by the losing team (more steals),
- leading team ices the ball (less shooting, less scoring),
- leading team can allow their lead to decrease (less scoring relative to losing team),
- fouls committed to change possession (more fouls),
- time outs to move the ball,
- losing team has more incentive to shoot 3ptr,
- defensive/offensive substitutions,
- players (on both teams) fouling out or trying not to foul out,
- change in officiating
So, comparing Q4 to Q1 to Q3 is rather suspect. For instance, any post will get fewer opportunities per minute for blocks in Q4 than in Q1. Something like the so-called "efficiency" is going to be impacted in Q4.
But since you did it, I'll continue.
For the USC game, when Cam was in the game for 3Q, she had a +/- of -3 (-2 for full game minus the +1 for playing the full Q4), while the team without Cam was -6 through 3Q (-9 from the score minus the -3 when Cam was in (her 3Q +/-)). So the team fared worse with her out for the first 3Q.
Cam (and the team) was +1 in Q4, so she & the team did relatively better with her in Q4 than she and it did with her through 3 quarters.
Seems opposite to what you're suggesting.
For the OSU game, Cam's +/- through Q3 was -8, while the team's was 0. In Q4, Cam's and the team's +/- was +3.
Again Cam and the team did relatively better with her in Q4 than she and it did through 3 quarters.
Seems opposite to what you're suggesting.
I certainly think Cam is playing more in close games because she's usually the most effective player and she's not being limited by foul trouble. The only situation I'd expect she'd need to sit some for protection would be against maul-ball teams.
I personally am very impressed that Cam has shown the will power to overcome her previous tendency to foul. That plus her improved foul shooting makes her even more valuable to Stanford and to whatever pro teams that get her.