10-29-2023, 12:46 PM
1. The epitome of a moral victory. We competed toe to toe with the highest ranked team in the conference, a legitimate (albeit ambitious) national title aspirant and could have come out with a victory if a few things broke differently. This stands in marked contrast to the carnage that ensued the other times we played touted opponents and thus creates a palpable sense among fans - and one hopes players, coaches, and recruits - that we are on the right track. This kind of heartbreak late game sequence sits a lot better in the first year of a challenging rebuild than it would any other time, but fortunately we are in the first year of a challenging rebuild. While our typical performances this year have been clearly the worst team in the Pac-12 and one of the worst Stanford teams ever, two of the last three and three of the last five have been considerably better, downright respectable. [Based on newly updated Sagarin rankings, the final results of our games this season have been befitting the #92 (at Hawaii), #206 (at USC), #156 (Sacramento State), #46 (Arizona), #148 (Oregon), #43 (at Colorado), #189 (UCLA), and #46 (Washington) teams in the nation.] This feels like progress.
2. This one was especially refreshing, in some ways more so than the Colorado and Arizona games, because it was such a team accomplishment. I genuinely think equal credit goes to the players and coaches. For the players, it was a balanced game in terms of execution, with both offense and defense playing relatively well and giving us a chance against a far superior team. They played well enough that we could have conceivably won had any number of things gone differently - a bit less beleaguered pass protection, not giving up a devastating amount of field position on special teams (between the failed and entirely elective/debatable onside kick, numerous significant Husky punt returns, etc.), not committing a large number of personal fouls, not giving up an 88 yard touchdown, not dropping a wide open critical fourth down pass on a well-designed and timed trick play. This is always the case in competitive games that a lot of things could have changed the result so we shouldn't belabor the point. The main takeaway is that we were competitive against a very good team. For the coaches, it was a fantastic game plan and a great example of how manipulating time of possession can be advantageous. Some fans overdo that concept but there's no doubt that against some opponents/talent mismatches it's the way to go. Our coaches played this masterfully. No matter how you slice it Washington demonstrated itself to be the clearly superior team, but we had a plan to neutralize their advantages and then the players executed that plan, hanging in deep into the fourth quarter. Kudos to players and coaches alike.
3. In terms of the final score, that was a shootout. It's the most points Washington has scored against a Power Five opponent other than Cal; meanwhile, Stanford tied with Oregon for the most points anybody has scored against Washington (!). Point total aside, we really competed. Our defense gave up 7.08 yards per play, which is a lot but we knew we'd give up a lot to this offense. It's actually the third least Washington has mustered (though all three of those were the last three weeks so this is an offense trying to rediscover its most dominant form) and well over a yard per play better than we did against USC or Oregon. On offense, I am still waiting for a 6+ yard per play game for us so shouldn't get too carried away, but it was very good by our standards, the most we've had against any Power Five defense other than the miserable Colorado D and the third most effective any offense has been against Washington. The Huskies had a bit of a depleted secondary but nonetheless I think this was a nice performance by our offense. My favorite stat for both sides is how we did on a points per non-garbage drive basis. The defense held Washington to 3.23 points per drive, which compares favorably to our season average heading in of 3.31 and quite favorably to the Washington offense's average of 3.70. The offense scored 2.36 points per drive, significantly better than both our average heading in of 1.88 and especially Washington's average of 1.57. In other words, we played the #5 offense in the nation like they were the #13 team and we played the #23 defense like they were the #85 defense (to visualize, as if they were Arizona State). Nice!
4. Breaking it down further, I was especially impressed with two things, our run defense and our passing offense. On run defense, we held Washington to their second worst run game (though the two worst have been back to back weeks so their struggles play in to some extent), almost a yard per carry worse than their average. It was definitively the stingiest we've been against anybody other than Hawaii, besting our Colorado performance in that department, and considering Hawaii is #132 of 133 teams in yards per carry and Colorado is dead last #133 while Washington is a far more respectable #65, this performance last night night was clear, massive evidence of improvement in our run defense. There were also big signs of progress in the passing game. We were slightly ahead of our statistical averages in both yards per attempt and passer rating despite Washington being one of the better pass defenses we've faced (second or third, after UCLA and comparable with Oregon). This is the signature passing game of our season to date, much more balanced and replicable than the Colorado miracle. The other phases I haven't mentioned, pass defense and run game, had bright spots but were less impressive. Our pass defense held Washington under their season averages in yards per attempt and passer rating but the truth is that the Husky passing game has been trending downward for weeks and being without a fully healthy McMillan is a significant detriment. I also suspect the famously tough Penix is playing through pain and furthermore that the last two weeks have been emotional slogs and potential trap games coming out of the iconic win over Oregon (and relatedly the as-ever-annoying Tim Brando's comments about the Stanford mausoleum being a deflating atmosphere for Washington were probably true). With all this swirling, Penix and his receivers had their best game in over a month, despite a lot of drops, so this was nothing really to write home about for our pass defense. [My man Wright continues to be very much not a lockdown guy.] As for our run game, it was the second most effective it's been all season against a Power Five opponent (behind just the USC game) but this strikes me as a testament to two things, Washington's softness against the run (six of their eight opponents rushed better than we did) and Daniels' remarkable rushing game. [By the way, that Daniels showed pocket presence, scrambling ability, and even some ability to succeed on designed run plays puts a nail in the the coffin on any QB competition. Clearly Lamson is just a situational guy unless injury strikes.] There's still no reason to think we have a run game, but at least we can be opportunistic.
5. The most negative thing I will say team-wide is that we have a discipline problem. #117 in penalty yards per game is insane for a Stanford team. We are almost always above average in limiting penalties and I am honestly unsure if there has ever in history been a Stanford team this undisciplined. I know for a fact that at no point since the turn of the century has Stanford been worse than 90-something in penalty yards per game. A little of this could be attributed to bad breaks from officiating but it's mostly about dumb post-snap personal fouls and such. I think self-awareness of this is why Taylor was so visibly vitriolic in his reaction to Rogers' very costly late hit. It's so odd to see Stanford be so sloppy on penalties and it's been both sides of the ball and a consistent theme. The national median in penalty yards per game is 51 and here we are having done worse than that against Hawaii, Sacramento State, Colorado, UCLA, and Washington. This isn't officials being out to get us, this is indiscipline.
2. This one was especially refreshing, in some ways more so than the Colorado and Arizona games, because it was such a team accomplishment. I genuinely think equal credit goes to the players and coaches. For the players, it was a balanced game in terms of execution, with both offense and defense playing relatively well and giving us a chance against a far superior team. They played well enough that we could have conceivably won had any number of things gone differently - a bit less beleaguered pass protection, not giving up a devastating amount of field position on special teams (between the failed and entirely elective/debatable onside kick, numerous significant Husky punt returns, etc.), not committing a large number of personal fouls, not giving up an 88 yard touchdown, not dropping a wide open critical fourth down pass on a well-designed and timed trick play. This is always the case in competitive games that a lot of things could have changed the result so we shouldn't belabor the point. The main takeaway is that we were competitive against a very good team. For the coaches, it was a fantastic game plan and a great example of how manipulating time of possession can be advantageous. Some fans overdo that concept but there's no doubt that against some opponents/talent mismatches it's the way to go. Our coaches played this masterfully. No matter how you slice it Washington demonstrated itself to be the clearly superior team, but we had a plan to neutralize their advantages and then the players executed that plan, hanging in deep into the fourth quarter. Kudos to players and coaches alike.
3. In terms of the final score, that was a shootout. It's the most points Washington has scored against a Power Five opponent other than Cal; meanwhile, Stanford tied with Oregon for the most points anybody has scored against Washington (!). Point total aside, we really competed. Our defense gave up 7.08 yards per play, which is a lot but we knew we'd give up a lot to this offense. It's actually the third least Washington has mustered (though all three of those were the last three weeks so this is an offense trying to rediscover its most dominant form) and well over a yard per play better than we did against USC or Oregon. On offense, I am still waiting for a 6+ yard per play game for us so shouldn't get too carried away, but it was very good by our standards, the most we've had against any Power Five defense other than the miserable Colorado D and the third most effective any offense has been against Washington. The Huskies had a bit of a depleted secondary but nonetheless I think this was a nice performance by our offense. My favorite stat for both sides is how we did on a points per non-garbage drive basis. The defense held Washington to 3.23 points per drive, which compares favorably to our season average heading in of 3.31 and quite favorably to the Washington offense's average of 3.70. The offense scored 2.36 points per drive, significantly better than both our average heading in of 1.88 and especially Washington's average of 1.57. In other words, we played the #5 offense in the nation like they were the #13 team and we played the #23 defense like they were the #85 defense (to visualize, as if they were Arizona State). Nice!
4. Breaking it down further, I was especially impressed with two things, our run defense and our passing offense. On run defense, we held Washington to their second worst run game (though the two worst have been back to back weeks so their struggles play in to some extent), almost a yard per carry worse than their average. It was definitively the stingiest we've been against anybody other than Hawaii, besting our Colorado performance in that department, and considering Hawaii is #132 of 133 teams in yards per carry and Colorado is dead last #133 while Washington is a far more respectable #65, this performance last night night was clear, massive evidence of improvement in our run defense. There were also big signs of progress in the passing game. We were slightly ahead of our statistical averages in both yards per attempt and passer rating despite Washington being one of the better pass defenses we've faced (second or third, after UCLA and comparable with Oregon). This is the signature passing game of our season to date, much more balanced and replicable than the Colorado miracle. The other phases I haven't mentioned, pass defense and run game, had bright spots but were less impressive. Our pass defense held Washington under their season averages in yards per attempt and passer rating but the truth is that the Husky passing game has been trending downward for weeks and being without a fully healthy McMillan is a significant detriment. I also suspect the famously tough Penix is playing through pain and furthermore that the last two weeks have been emotional slogs and potential trap games coming out of the iconic win over Oregon (and relatedly the as-ever-annoying Tim Brando's comments about the Stanford mausoleum being a deflating atmosphere for Washington were probably true). With all this swirling, Penix and his receivers had their best game in over a month, despite a lot of drops, so this was nothing really to write home about for our pass defense. [My man Wright continues to be very much not a lockdown guy.] As for our run game, it was the second most effective it's been all season against a Power Five opponent (behind just the USC game) but this strikes me as a testament to two things, Washington's softness against the run (six of their eight opponents rushed better than we did) and Daniels' remarkable rushing game. [By the way, that Daniels showed pocket presence, scrambling ability, and even some ability to succeed on designed run plays puts a nail in the the coffin on any QB competition. Clearly Lamson is just a situational guy unless injury strikes.] There's still no reason to think we have a run game, but at least we can be opportunistic.
5. The most negative thing I will say team-wide is that we have a discipline problem. #117 in penalty yards per game is insane for a Stanford team. We are almost always above average in limiting penalties and I am honestly unsure if there has ever in history been a Stanford team this undisciplined. I know for a fact that at no point since the turn of the century has Stanford been worse than 90-something in penalty yards per game. A little of this could be attributed to bad breaks from officiating but it's mostly about dumb post-snap personal fouls and such. I think self-awareness of this is why Taylor was so visibly vitriolic in his reaction to Rogers' very costly late hit. It's so odd to see Stanford be so sloppy on penalties and it's been both sides of the ball and a consistent theme. The national median in penalty yards per game is 51 and here we are having done worse than that against Hawaii, Sacramento State, Colorado, UCLA, and Washington. This isn't officials being out to get us, this is indiscipline.


