03-31-2017, 09:42 PM
What will the team be like next year?
Alanna Smith may become the centerpiece, playing a stretch 4 would be my guess, but attacking the basket from the low blocks when possible. She does need to expand the variety of her inside moves to avoid becoming predictable--and she has had a tendency to miss some high percentage shots, so there is a lot of room for improvement. Do Maya Dodson and Estella Moschkau fit here too? I have no idea where Tara might play them, but after Nadia's experience I've learned to be conservative about guessing whether a frosh will play much.
At the 5 there are options. Nadia Fingall looked like a natural 5 earlier this year, hitting everything in close. Can she get back to that level of play, against serious competition? Kaylee Johnson has played the 4 but perhaps she is a better 5? Can she become more consistent scoring around the basket? She is still our best rebounder, minute for minute. And what about Shannon Coffee? Shannon might not become a starter, but perhaps she could become the next Sarah Boothe and get us some minutes and points and absorb a few fouls. Shannon wound up the season with the team's best shooting percentage--although perhaps a deceptive stat with relatively few chances. I'm guessing that Nadia has the greatest upside and will improve the most--but that is a guess based upon how good she looked at times early in our season.
At the three it would seem that Britt McPhee can be a scoring machine, but she needs consistency--but she has shown she can be a good defender. And DiJonai Carrington can play the 3 and play it well, and will probably be much better next year than she was this year with her late start. But maybe those two get moved out to the 2 if Moschkau turns out to play the 3 well. And Alyssa Jerome, a 6'1" forward, might fit in at the three better than the 4 or 5.Â
Marta Sniezek has shown signs of becoming a great point guard, but she needs more offense. If Anna Wilson recovers fully she might challenge Marta, or if not perhaps Kianna Williams will be pressed into service as backup.
With Karlie and Bri graduating, the competition is wide open for shooting guard. Alexa Romano has looked very good to me in limited minutes. Mikaela Brewer has not been much of a factor since very early this year, and so it is hard to know whether she can be the next Karlie as I once thought she might. But this much is sure: either Anna or Kianna or Alexa or Mikaela will be playing a lot more minutes next year--the competition for the 2 might be fierce.
I am going to assume that none of the incoming frosh will start right away, and I will assume the same about this year's freshman who have not played much (Anna and Mikaela). If I had to guess who the five starters at the beginning of the season would be, I would guess:
Fingall 5 (Johnson also plausible)
Smith 4
Carrington 3 (Or McPhee)
McPhee 2 (Or Wilson)
Sniezek 1
With Kaylee, Anna, and Alexa first in off the bench. But if she has a great off season, I could see Kaylee starting again. And Anna could really sparkle in the off season if she is healthy. If not by then, I could see Anna working her way in to the lineup later in the season, perhaps as a 2 if Marta is doing well.
One interesting question is whether Tara will go big or go small at the 2-3-4 positions. Are our shorter guards--Anna, Kianna, Mikaela, and Alexa more worthy of play than our plethora of wings--DiJonai, Britt, Moshkau, and Maybe Jerome? I'm sure that Tara will play our five best players, regardless of what their prior positions have been. Who are the best five? We will start to learn the answer to that in November.
Alanna Smith may become the centerpiece, playing a stretch 4 would be my guess, but attacking the basket from the low blocks when possible. She does need to expand the variety of her inside moves to avoid becoming predictable--and she has had a tendency to miss some high percentage shots, so there is a lot of room for improvement. Do Maya Dodson and Estella Moschkau fit here too? I have no idea where Tara might play them, but after Nadia's experience I've learned to be conservative about guessing whether a frosh will play much.
At the 5 there are options. Nadia Fingall looked like a natural 5 earlier this year, hitting everything in close. Can she get back to that level of play, against serious competition? Kaylee Johnson has played the 4 but perhaps she is a better 5? Can she become more consistent scoring around the basket? She is still our best rebounder, minute for minute. And what about Shannon Coffee? Shannon might not become a starter, but perhaps she could become the next Sarah Boothe and get us some minutes and points and absorb a few fouls. Shannon wound up the season with the team's best shooting percentage--although perhaps a deceptive stat with relatively few chances. I'm guessing that Nadia has the greatest upside and will improve the most--but that is a guess based upon how good she looked at times early in our season.
At the three it would seem that Britt McPhee can be a scoring machine, but she needs consistency--but she has shown she can be a good defender. And DiJonai Carrington can play the 3 and play it well, and will probably be much better next year than she was this year with her late start. But maybe those two get moved out to the 2 if Moschkau turns out to play the 3 well. And Alyssa Jerome, a 6'1" forward, might fit in at the three better than the 4 or 5.Â
Marta Sniezek has shown signs of becoming a great point guard, but she needs more offense. If Anna Wilson recovers fully she might challenge Marta, or if not perhaps Kianna Williams will be pressed into service as backup.
With Karlie and Bri graduating, the competition is wide open for shooting guard. Alexa Romano has looked very good to me in limited minutes. Mikaela Brewer has not been much of a factor since very early this year, and so it is hard to know whether she can be the next Karlie as I once thought she might. But this much is sure: either Anna or Kianna or Alexa or Mikaela will be playing a lot more minutes next year--the competition for the 2 might be fierce.
I am going to assume that none of the incoming frosh will start right away, and I will assume the same about this year's freshman who have not played much (Anna and Mikaela). If I had to guess who the five starters at the beginning of the season would be, I would guess:
Fingall 5 (Johnson also plausible)
Smith 4
Carrington 3 (Or McPhee)
McPhee 2 (Or Wilson)
Sniezek 1
With Kaylee, Anna, and Alexa first in off the bench. But if she has a great off season, I could see Kaylee starting again. And Anna could really sparkle in the off season if she is healthy. If not by then, I could see Anna working her way in to the lineup later in the season, perhaps as a 2 if Marta is doing well.
One interesting question is whether Tara will go big or go small at the 2-3-4 positions. Are our shorter guards--Anna, Kianna, Mikaela, and Alexa more worthy of play than our plethora of wings--DiJonai, Britt, Moshkau, and Maybe Jerome? I'm sure that Tara will play our five best players, regardless of what their prior positions have been. Who are the best five? We will start to learn the answer to that in November.


