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08-30-2022, 09:01 AM
(This post was last modified: 08-30-2022, 09:11 AM by
msqueri.)
* The DB depth chart is the strangest thing in the whole thing. If we're deep there why double up every single backup and two of the starters. This seems gratuitous. I think Occam's Razor is that it's just honest. We're going into the season with a top seven, four to six will play at a given time, and if there are injuries these are the seven that will be shuffled around. Toomer, Slocum, Jones, Gilman, Ellis, Porter, Leigber, or true freshmen only get to play in garbage time or if there are numerous injuries. Don't hold me to that literally, as depth charts aren't set in stone and we could see Toomer/Slocum/Jones get in for a few plays earlier in the games, but this choice to only list seven when we easily could have listed ten is notable. Personally, I think this is really disrespectful to Toomer in particular (333 snaps last year) and may be suggestive of injury unavailability or dog house. Why list STM twice (especially given STM's fragility) unless you really want to make a comparative statement?
* I think the burial of Bowman and Raines speaks loudly about them but let's look on the positive side: Reuben being listed ahead of numerous scholarship players is something only Bailey can claim in the true freshmen class. Good for them.
* Yeah, Bailey....wow, true freshman listed first on the depth chart. Has that ever happened under Shaw? I don't think so. Shaw's record for Day One snaps by a true freshman are 36 snaps by Connor Wedington, 35 snaps by Walker Little, and 32 snaps by Wayne Lyons (obviously none a linebacker/edge player.....the record for that is James Vaughters' 16 snaps). Bailey has a chance to break new ground. Looking back at the depth charts I can find, Wedington was listed as backing up Trenton Irwin with Jay Tyler as the other starter (hahahahahahaha). In reality, Irwin and Tyler did indeed start that game but Irwin played 41 snaps, Donald Stewart played 39, Wedington played 36, and Tyler played 25. That same game, Walker Little was listed as the backup RT behind Devery Hamilton and Hamilton did indeed get the start as well as more snaps (43 to Little's 35). Against San Jose State in 2011, Lyons was not listed ahead of Johnson Bademosi or Barry Browning, did not start ahead of them in actuality, and did not get more snaps, though Lyons and Browning had identical (32) snaps). It looks like Bailey is heading into the season as our most significant defensive true freshman since Wayne Lyons, which was a long time ago, and it seems distinctly possible Bailey will have an even bigger role. Will this be the first time since the 2007 UCLA game (Owen Marecic) that a true freshman plays from the first snap of his career?
* The player on the depth chart who most needs to watch his back seems pretty clearly to be Bradley Archer. Our backup tight end is listed as Archer OR Lukas Ungar OR Sam Roush. That's a mess, and I think suggestive of Roush leap-frogging the older players sooner rather than later. If I had seen this a few days ago I may have put Roush in my top 35 players. True freshman playing time is unusual for a tight end under Coach Turner.
* I've commented on it several times, but to me the story of August is Jake Hornibrook leap-frogging Barrett Miller. This is not what the data points of the last three years would have suggested, and to me is the juiciest bit of who's up/who's down palace intrigue on the roster. It's perhaps a sign of Heffernan putting his stamp on the room. More speculatively and even more intriguingly, it very well could be a leading indicator that for cohesion reasons we are preparing for Miller to be the right tackle and it would be more disruptive to require Nugent to develop chemistry with a shifting duo of left guards, to require Miller to start the season on the left side of the line and then move to the right, and to have two new starting positions rather than one. This could be a really interesting indication that Hinton's days starting are numbered. I think I'll guess that Hinton will split time with Miller at RT against Colgate. The benign to Hinton explanation could be that we thought he played better at the end of last season when he was splitting time (there's some evidence of this from the Oregon State and Notre Dame games) and the more nefarious to Hinton explanation could be that we're preparing for Miller to take Hinton's job.
* I cannot overstate enough how disappointing it is to me to see Aaron Armitage third string. This ranks with the Dubre and Harris omissions as something that raised my eyebrows in a discouraging way, but since Armitage actually played last year and the defense was ostentatiously changed in a way tailor-made for him more than literally any other player on the roster, this is so disappointing. As with all things depth chart related, the much more interesting data points will be what we see when the games start. Maybe Armitage will play 30 snaps against Colgate and this depth chart will have proven to be subterfuge. I think it's probably more likely that DiCosmo had a better camp and, perhaps, DiCosmo himself is a player for whom the scheme change helps a lot (a Sam linebacker?). Armitage and even more so Keneley played enough last year relative to age that one would have penciled them in for a very significant role. Keneley's placement on the depth chart is such that a significant role may indeed be in the cards. But the depth chart is either lying or Armitage is buried. The fifth or sixth edge player is not a significant player.
* I'll end with maybe the most interesting revelation of all: how the coaches are thinking (or at least some indication of that/what they'd like us to perceive) about finding playing time for the extremely established safeties. Fields at nickel back and McGill at safety will be counter intuitive to many fans given that Fields played safety at Oklahoma and McGill has predominantly been a nickel back at Stanford. We have had some inklings of this, most notably a Fields interview in which he talked about playing more "man-to-man" and "moving around" being the biggest scheme difference between his Oklahoma experience (read: he was free safety at Oklahoma and Akina is playing him at nickel and/or strong safety). I don't know exactly what to make of this but am very interested by it. One explanation could be that Fields is faster than McGill and we are trying to put Fields in more of a coverage role (quickness/change of direction seems even more important for nickel back and I don't know who is more athletic in that sense). Another could be that the nickel doesn't play every play and McGill is the heart and soul of the defense as well as one of its top playmakers....not somebody who is coming off the field. And there are probably several other explanations. In any case, it's interesting to basically change both of their positions. Finally, it's always possible this is much ado about nothing, either because the safety/nickel positions end up pretty interchangeable or because it all just will vary game-by-game depending on opponent and game plan. Heck, for all I know against Colgate maybe Fields will be a spy on the running QB. All of which to say: depth charts are fun to dissect but aren't dispositive and what we see when the games count is what matters. 104.5 hours to go!