Preview:
After USC shocked us in LA by stifling our offense, there is little chance our team will take them lightly. It is very possible that we will play them a third time in the Pac 12 tournament, too, so there is even more reason to solve the puzzle.
Here is our last thread on USC, from the ignominious Jan 15 game:
https://thecardboard.org/board/showthrea...#pid379109
And here is the depressing box score:
https://gostanford.com/sports/womens-bas...core/37998
USC certainly had our number, but our loss was not a fluke. It might have seemed that way at the time--when they beat us they were 2-3 in league play. Since then they have gone 6-2, beating Oregon and Oregon State who had both beaten USC earlier. They also are the only team to have beaten Colorado in Boulder. Some of their wins have been nail biters--they beat Washington in Seattle in overtime, and Oregon State at home in overtime. They lost to Arizona at home in double overtime. In all these games the scores were in the 50s at the end of regulation--USC is winning primarily on the strength of superb defense and just "good enough" offense. Its one blemish was @ Utah, which beat them 83-73 in regulation.
USC has been rewarded for beating us and turning its season around. It has just entered the AP poll at 25, Massey has them at 27, and the NET at 28. Overall they are now 19-6, in league 9-5. They are thus in a three way tie with UCLA and Arizona for the coveted 4th place slot in the Pac 12 tourney. Charlie Creme has them as a 9 seed.
Now here is a bit of ominous news to Stanford fans who have not been following USC. When we last played them in LA, their leading scorer--6'2" forward grad transfer Kadi Sissoku--was out with injury. Sissoku came back the next weekend for USC and has been on a tear ever since, scoring 18 in their win @ Colorado, for example. USC doesn't usually have to score that many points to win, and so Sissoku has been instrumental in their recent success.
At the chalk talk following our USC loss, fans understandably asked about it. Usually such answers are very circumspect and don't reveal too much, and this one didn't either. But the size and length of USC was noted--that they matched up well defensively on us. If so, then we ought to look at playing them as good practice for the NCAAs. We have often been able to use our own size and length to beat teams that cannot match up physically with us. With USC we have a team that can match up physically, so we need to beat them the old fashioned way--by playing better! How much have we learned since January 15? We will find out.
USC's last game was a very ugly 60-56 overtime win over Oregon State. The teams were tied 55-55 at the end of regulation and no team had scored more than 16 points in a quarter. Then, in overtime, USC held Oregon State to 1 point, and staggered to victory.
Raegen Beers did score 18 points and nab 16 rebounds coming in off the bench, so strong post play can be successful against USC. I am sure Tara has studied what OSU did to free up Beers against the USC defense. But other than Bendu Yeaney getting a few breakaways--no one else from OSU got out of single digits. USC may simply have to be beaten in a low scoring game.
While none of USC's players seem like All-American superstars, they have multiple players who can score, making it difficult to ignore anyone they put on the court. Destiny Littleton has been getting better and better offensively. Against OSU she led with 18 points despite going 0-6 from three point range. She got 7 free throws, so clearly she was taking it to the rim against the OSU defense and manufacturing points.
Sissoku and Okako Adika have joined Littleton at nearly 40 minutes a game. Neither one was very efficient shooting in that last defensive slugfest, but contribute mightily on defense, and both routinely get close to double digits in points.
In addition to that core of 3 that play full time, USC rotates 4 other players in the other two slots. Rayah Marshall is their star post, at 6'4", and she gets spelled by 6'6" Clarice Akunwafo who had some success guarding Brink the last time out. And the fifth slot is held by 5'7" guard Kayla Williams, who seems to share with Rokia Doumbia.
To remember last time, USC was able to keep a quick, athletic guard on Jump full time, and Jump went 0-5. Meanwhile, Marshall and Akunwafo bothered Brink to the point she was 3-14, and Adika seems to be the right kind of player to guard Jones, who was 3-13. In short, they match up 1:1 pretty well against all our main scorers. They also got 7 steals from us while keeping their own turnovers down. We had an apalling 8:14 assist to turnover ratio. It was just hard to ever pass the ball, and when a team's strength is inside rather than outside, that became our fatal flaw.
On defense we have to do better defending the three point line than we did last time out. USC is not a prolific three point shooting team, but they went 8-19 against us. Taylor Bigby has not been getting many minutes lately, but she came in and scored 3/6 from three against us, and while Littleton was 0/6 in their last game, she and Adika both hit a couple of threes against us last time. In other words, if they are reasonably defended they are not terrific three point shooters, but if we pack the paint and leave them open, they will heat up enough to make us pay.
On offense, I think our newish high-low offense will be required. Betts played 3 minutes in our last game, and she and good post-to-post passes might be the way to break open the USC defense. Clearly OSU figured out a way to get Beers going.
Tara commented after the loss that we failed in three aspects of the game--offense and defense of course, but also rebounding. We gave them 14 O-boards. Can't do that in a low scoring defensive game and expect to win.
It is a tall order, but our team should be pleased to be coming home, playing in front of a friendly crowd, confident with its recent adjustments and success, and angry at our last loss. I'm looking forward to a better result.
After USC shocked us in LA by stifling our offense, there is little chance our team will take them lightly. It is very possible that we will play them a third time in the Pac 12 tournament, too, so there is even more reason to solve the puzzle.
Here is our last thread on USC, from the ignominious Jan 15 game:
https://thecardboard.org/board/showthrea...#pid379109
And here is the depressing box score:
https://gostanford.com/sports/womens-bas...core/37998
USC certainly had our number, but our loss was not a fluke. It might have seemed that way at the time--when they beat us they were 2-3 in league play. Since then they have gone 6-2, beating Oregon and Oregon State who had both beaten USC earlier. They also are the only team to have beaten Colorado in Boulder. Some of their wins have been nail biters--they beat Washington in Seattle in overtime, and Oregon State at home in overtime. They lost to Arizona at home in double overtime. In all these games the scores were in the 50s at the end of regulation--USC is winning primarily on the strength of superb defense and just "good enough" offense. Its one blemish was @ Utah, which beat them 83-73 in regulation.
USC has been rewarded for beating us and turning its season around. It has just entered the AP poll at 25, Massey has them at 27, and the NET at 28. Overall they are now 19-6, in league 9-5. They are thus in a three way tie with UCLA and Arizona for the coveted 4th place slot in the Pac 12 tourney. Charlie Creme has them as a 9 seed.
Now here is a bit of ominous news to Stanford fans who have not been following USC. When we last played them in LA, their leading scorer--6'2" forward grad transfer Kadi Sissoku--was out with injury. Sissoku came back the next weekend for USC and has been on a tear ever since, scoring 18 in their win @ Colorado, for example. USC doesn't usually have to score that many points to win, and so Sissoku has been instrumental in their recent success.
At the chalk talk following our USC loss, fans understandably asked about it. Usually such answers are very circumspect and don't reveal too much, and this one didn't either. But the size and length of USC was noted--that they matched up well defensively on us. If so, then we ought to look at playing them as good practice for the NCAAs. We have often been able to use our own size and length to beat teams that cannot match up physically with us. With USC we have a team that can match up physically, so we need to beat them the old fashioned way--by playing better! How much have we learned since January 15? We will find out.
USC's last game was a very ugly 60-56 overtime win over Oregon State. The teams were tied 55-55 at the end of regulation and no team had scored more than 16 points in a quarter. Then, in overtime, USC held Oregon State to 1 point, and staggered to victory.
Raegen Beers did score 18 points and nab 16 rebounds coming in off the bench, so strong post play can be successful against USC. I am sure Tara has studied what OSU did to free up Beers against the USC defense. But other than Bendu Yeaney getting a few breakaways--no one else from OSU got out of single digits. USC may simply have to be beaten in a low scoring game.
While none of USC's players seem like All-American superstars, they have multiple players who can score, making it difficult to ignore anyone they put on the court. Destiny Littleton has been getting better and better offensively. Against OSU she led with 18 points despite going 0-6 from three point range. She got 7 free throws, so clearly she was taking it to the rim against the OSU defense and manufacturing points.
Sissoku and Okako Adika have joined Littleton at nearly 40 minutes a game. Neither one was very efficient shooting in that last defensive slugfest, but contribute mightily on defense, and both routinely get close to double digits in points.
In addition to that core of 3 that play full time, USC rotates 4 other players in the other two slots. Rayah Marshall is their star post, at 6'4", and she gets spelled by 6'6" Clarice Akunwafo who had some success guarding Brink the last time out. And the fifth slot is held by 5'7" guard Kayla Williams, who seems to share with Rokia Doumbia.
To remember last time, USC was able to keep a quick, athletic guard on Jump full time, and Jump went 0-5. Meanwhile, Marshall and Akunwafo bothered Brink to the point she was 3-14, and Adika seems to be the right kind of player to guard Jones, who was 3-13. In short, they match up 1:1 pretty well against all our main scorers. They also got 7 steals from us while keeping their own turnovers down. We had an apalling 8:14 assist to turnover ratio. It was just hard to ever pass the ball, and when a team's strength is inside rather than outside, that became our fatal flaw.
On defense we have to do better defending the three point line than we did last time out. USC is not a prolific three point shooting team, but they went 8-19 against us. Taylor Bigby has not been getting many minutes lately, but she came in and scored 3/6 from three against us, and while Littleton was 0/6 in their last game, she and Adika both hit a couple of threes against us last time. In other words, if they are reasonably defended they are not terrific three point shooters, but if we pack the paint and leave them open, they will heat up enough to make us pay.
On offense, I think our newish high-low offense will be required. Betts played 3 minutes in our last game, and she and good post-to-post passes might be the way to break open the USC defense. Clearly OSU figured out a way to get Beers going.
Tara commented after the loss that we failed in three aspects of the game--offense and defense of course, but also rebounding. We gave them 14 O-boards. Can't do that in a low scoring defensive game and expect to win.
It is a tall order, but our team should be pleased to be coming home, playing in front of a friendly crowd, confident with its recent adjustments and success, and angry at our last loss. I'm looking forward to a better result.

