[TrumpCard]

Isn't over-offering -- that is, "offering" but then later pulling the offer when (or before or after) the recruit tries to commit -- exactly what Shaw has said he doesn't do?

I think this all came up in the context of extending an offer to David Long.  I'll note that ESPN just came out with its 2016 ratings (which may be of general interest to this board) and put him in the Top 100 overall.  That rating may be on the high side, but this kid can play ball, so I don't think he's the best example of an imprudent offer. 

More generally, even though the current number of offers to recruits who are technically uncommitted is larger than the number of slots in the class, it is safe to say that Stanford can/will make room for any current offeree who want to come and gets admitted.  This process is similar to Stanford University's general admissions process, in which more students gain admission than there are spaces for the entering freshman class.  In the case of football recruits, however, we have even better data because these kids post their favorites on social media.  Some of the recruits may have told Stanford they aren't interested.  Some of the recruits may have admissions issues.  As Hulk said, it would be unprecedented to get even 20 signees out of all the current commits and offers.  The only issue with the current number of offers is that it leaves the staff less flexibility to make additional offers based on performance in summer camps or based on performance in the senior year.  Since kids are committing earlier than ever, however, the staff may have concluded that it is impractical to wait for those additional data points before making offers. 

[TrumpCard]

Isn't over-offering -- that is, "offering" but then later pulling the offer when (or before or after) the recruit tries to commit -- exactly what Shaw has said he doesn't do?

I think this all came up in the context of extending an offer to David Long.  I'll note that ESPN just came out with its 2016 ratings (which may be of general interest to this board) and put him in the Top 100 overall.  That rating may be on the high side, but this kid can play ball, so I don't think he's the best example of an imprudent offer. 

More generally, even though the current number of offers to recruits who are technically uncommitted is larger than the number of slots in the class, it is safe to say that Stanford can/will make room for any current offeree who want to come and gets admitted.  This process is similar to Stanford University's general admissions process, in which more students gain admission than there are spaces for the entering freshman class.  In the case of football recruits, however, we have even better data because these kids post their favorites on social media.  Some of the recruits may have told Stanford they aren't interested.  Some of the recruits may have admissions issues.  As Hulk said, it would be unprecedented to get even 20 signees out of all the current commits and offers.  The only issue with the current number of offers is that it leaves the staff less flexibility to make additional offers based on performance in summer camps or based on performance in the senior year.  Since kids are committing earlier than ever, however, the staff may have concluded that it is impractical to wait for those additional data points before making offers.