09-24-2018, 11:21 AM
(09-22-2018, 08:06 PM)BostonCard Wrote:(09-22-2018, 08:00 PM)shinsengumi Wrote: Feel like every time we've rolled out jumbo on 4th and 1 over the last couple of years, we've been stuffed. Probably not much the O-line can do in those tight quarters.
Remound and Gaffney could make it work - the others not as much.
We had four first downs in 6 rushing attempts on fourth down last year. We were 5 of 9 in Gaffney's year, and 7 in 10 when Remound was taking the handoffs from McCaffrey.
BC
Hey BC. Thanks for providing this during the game.
I could've sworn that we've had a distinct lack of success in jumbo situations the last couple of years. But I didn't know where I could get the situational data from. This is the closest proxy I found thanks to RJ Abeytia's article on 247 (https://247sports.com/college/stanford/L...22417330_3)
Football Outsiders tracks a metric called Power Success Rate (percentage of runs on third or fourth down, two yards or less to go, that achieved a first down or touchdown). Here's what the numbers look like for the last few years.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaaol2017
| Year | Primary Short Yardage Back | PSR % | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Wright/Sanders | 73.7 | 23 |
| 2015 | Wright/McCaffrey | 76.2 | 12 |
| 2016 | Scarlett/McCaffrey | 65.9 | 76 |
| 2017 | Scarlett/Love | 69.4 | 49 |
