It's not a problem of consistent reliability in the lower spots:
Liu and Wang have played poorly with workwomanlike consistency.
Those two are reliably not good enough.
(And yes, Valenzuela hasn't been consistent, either,
but at a much higher level.)
Krauter has been a decent five (76.6 over her last 12 rounds)
and a terrific five for match play because she can get very hot.
Liu (76.7) and Wang (76.1) can't.
Those are wretched numbers at their spots.
Each of them will win only if her opponent plays poorly/chokes,
which certainly can happen in NCAA finals match play.
I'd be tempted to take a flyer and play Reyes,
although she hasn't outplayed the other two and has less experience.
Meanwhile, no idea how the men are doing what they are doing.
Magic fairy dust?
Liu and Wang have played poorly with workwomanlike consistency.
Those two are reliably not good enough.
(And yes, Valenzuela hasn't been consistent, either,
but at a much higher level.)
Krauter has been a decent five (76.6 over her last 12 rounds)
and a terrific five for match play because she can get very hot.
Liu (76.7) and Wang (76.1) can't.
Those are wretched numbers at their spots.
Each of them will win only if her opponent plays poorly/chokes,
which certainly can happen in NCAA finals match play.
I'd be tempted to take a flyer and play Reyes,
although she hasn't outplayed the other two and has less experience.
Meanwhile, no idea how the men are doing what they are doing.
Magic fairy dust?