[2006alum]

I agree, but one additional consideration is the degree to which the total cases are accurate.  You have confidence in South Korea's death rate given the number of tests they have sent out.  I'm less confident of the US's numbers given the general lack of testing.

BC

Per this spreadsheet, Italy has tested over 53,000 and had just over 9,000 positives, so 80% of tests come back negative. That makes me think Italy is doing a fairly good job of testing widely. Is there another reason to think we should lack confidence in Italy's death rate? 

[tweet]https://twitter.com/Dr_FarrisD/status/1237098779456819201?s=20[/tweet]

[2006alum]

I agree, but one additional consideration is the degree to which the total cases are accurate.  You have confidence in South Korea's death rate given the number of tests they have sent out.  I'm less confident of the US's numbers given the general lack of testing.

BC

Per this spreadsheet, Italy has tested over 53,000 and had just over 9,000 positives, so 80% of tests come back negative. That makes me think Italy is doing a fairly good job of testing widely. Is there another reason to think we should lack confidence in Italy's death rate? 

[tweet]https://twitter.com/Dr_FarrisD/status/1237098779456819201?s=20[/tweet]