(03-14-2020, 08:17 AM)2006alum Wrote: Also, there's a of immense proportions, of immense proportions difference between 200k deaths and 1.7m deaths (from the estimates in the source BC provided yesterday) in terms of the impact to businesses, etc. The variation among those figures will also dictate whether we are closing schools and businesses for 4-6 weeks or 4-6 months, which in turn will necessitate a very different federal legislative response. I suspect Congress may want to see how this unfolds before directing broader, long-term relief.
Not to be maudlin, but my take is that 96% of the deaths are likely to occur after one is retired, using age 65 as the retirement age and using the statistics from China's outbreak. So the impact to businesses is probably lesser than we might otherwise believe.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#c...-19-by-age
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