A small difference in transmission could still make a big difference in deaths, and just because it is present and spreading in warmer climates doesn't mean that the growth curves couldn't look very different.
Need to wait for more data, but I think this will be partially borne out. Of course, with a novel virus without any immunity, any reduced transmission in summer will be made up again later in absence of other measures such as a vaccine or effective therapy. I'm just hoping reduced transmission in summer buys us some time to get in place truly universal testing and tracking programs, but I'm doubtful we could do that well even if given infinite time.
Need to wait for more data, but I think this will be partially borne out. Of course, with a novel virus without any immunity, any reduced transmission in summer will be made up again later in absence of other measures such as a vaccine or effective therapy. I'm just hoping reduced transmission in summer buys us some time to get in place truly universal testing and tracking programs, but I'm doubtful we could do that well even if given infinite time.