[Farm93]

I’ve been wondering the same thing about Socal, and agree that lack of compliance, housing density and a later start may contribute. A few other possibilities:
1) Maybe the news isn’t as bad as it looks. It seems like it’s getting easier to get tested there. Maybe they are catching a higher percentage of cases, and hopefully the fatalities will drop to confirm that.
2) It looked like there was a bump in cases 4-8 days after Easter.
3) My impression is that a higher percentage of people in LA work in essential, tightly-packed, indoor industries like food processing, garment production, and manufacturing. The Bay Area is fortunate in that so many people can work from home. Also, those essential industry workers may be more likely to use mass transit.

Yes, to a lot of those things.

FWIW - It really is LA county more than the other SoCal counties.   LA county has most of the things that tend to fuel community spread as you noted.

The reality has been that California has flattened the curve.  Per that strategy we should not expect the CA curve to drop as quickly as the NY or Louisiana experience.   I can only imagine that in CA we will see new hospitalizations and potentially fatalities near the current daily rates for a few months.

We lost our old normal in a few days, but it could be several months before we get to a steady state new normal.   

UofA President does not expect college football in 2020.  Sad, but seems inevitable that the Pac-12 will not have a football season.   

https://tucson.com/sports/arizonawildcat...92115.html

[Farm93]

I’ve been wondering the same thing about Socal, and agree that lack of compliance, housing density and a later start may contribute. A few other possibilities:
1) Maybe the news isn’t as bad as it looks. It seems like it’s getting easier to get tested there. Maybe they are catching a higher percentage of cases, and hopefully the fatalities will drop to confirm that.
2) It looked like there was a bump in cases 4-8 days after Easter.
3) My impression is that a higher percentage of people in LA work in essential, tightly-packed, indoor industries like food processing, garment production, and manufacturing. The Bay Area is fortunate in that so many people can work from home. Also, those essential industry workers may be more likely to use mass transit.

Yes, to a lot of those things.

FWIW - It really is LA county more than the other SoCal counties.   LA county has most of the things that tend to fuel community spread as you noted.

The reality has been that California has flattened the curve.  Per that strategy we should not expect the CA curve to drop as quickly as the NY or Louisiana experience.   I can only imagine that in CA we will see new hospitalizations and potentially fatalities near the current daily rates for a few months.

We lost our old normal in a few days, but it could be several months before we get to a steady state new normal.   

UofA President does not expect college football in 2020.  Sad, but seems inevitable that the Pac-12 will not have a football season.   

https://tucson.com/sports/arizonawildcat...92115.html