[Hurlburt88]

Without studying the matter carefully, I believe that the anti-vaxxer minority will not materially impede efforts to contain COVID-19.    I base this on a perceived willingness of most persons to get a vaccine, which will dramatically slow community spread and thus convey benefit across society.   Even if 100% of persons get the vaccine, I will also assume imperfect immune response and also virus evolution, so no way to totally stamp this out.   

I contrast this with a measles situation, where if 10% of persons do not get the vaccine, it can create pockets where the disease can evolve and thus threaten even some vaccinated persons eventually--so high incentive to vaccinate as many as possible, and the anti-vaxxers post a threat.   

Interested in more views on this!

[Hurlburt88]

Without studying the matter carefully, I believe that the anti-vaxxer minority will not materially impede efforts to contain COVID-19.    I base this on a perceived willingness of most persons to get a vaccine, which will dramatically slow community spread and thus convey benefit across society.   Even if 100% of persons get the vaccine, I will also assume imperfect immune response and also virus evolution, so no way to totally stamp this out.   

I contrast this with a measles situation, where if 10% of persons do not get the vaccine, it can create pockets where the disease can evolve and thus threaten even some vaccinated persons eventually--so high incentive to vaccinate as many as possible, and the anti-vaxxers post a threat.   

Interested in more views on this!