04-29-2020, 11:54 PM
(04-29-2020, 11:46 PM)pefloresjr Wrote: Any of these type of risk analyses are hybrid political/scientific decisions. You can't make a rational risk analysis of a health related issue without good science behind it. Of course "science" isn't always clear, that is why I think it is critical that scientists and policy makers be open to information that is evolving. In fact, they should expect it and tell the public that they should expect it. I would feel much better if all of the leaders in the political chain of command I live under did so. I think most Americans can handle the hard truth, including uncertainty, if the leaders lay out plans to increase certainty and show a willingness to act on the true information.
I cut policy makers slack in being conservative toward public safety at the outset (taking actions to stop the worst case scenario until we have information that the likelihood of that is low) because I work in an area where public safety is part of my overall duties. Even though some would dismissively categorize me as a bureaucrat, I take that responsibility to heart and it is serious to me. Making the wrong decision and failing to protect the public safety is what keeps me up at night. I am very in favor of the Trump administration's guidelines for re-opening the country and economy because they seem to be based on scientific information for when we can control the virus sufficiently to limit the health and economic impacts.
Cheers,
Pete F.
Sounds reasonable to me. Indeed, much more so than a lot of the discussion I’ve seen. Thanks for that.

